April 17, 2019
HISPANIC CONQUISTADORS GARCIA, ARROYO, GUTIERREZ BUNGLE 2019 ELECTIONS

Chicago's Hispanic population is 800,000-plus, so how did Susana Mendoza get a measly 50,373 (9.1%) votes in the 2/26 primary? And Gery Chico 354,521? First, it's because Hispanics DON'T VOTE.  Second, it's because the Hispanic political bosses -- the Chapucero Conquistadors Chuy Garcia, Luis Arroyo and Luis Gutierrez -- make BAD DECISIONS and back losers. Garcia made 11 endorsements in aldermanic races, AND 7 LOST -- the most egregious being his failure to take out Ed Burke..Gutierrez could not get his daughter elected alderman, and Arroyo could not get his ally Millie Santiago re-elected alderman..Third, turnout in the 14 Hispanic-majority wards barely eclipsed 100,000, even though there are over 360,000 registered voters. There is a chasm between traditional Hispanics and "democratic socialists," who won aldermanic seats in the 35th, 33rd, 40th, 25th and 1st wards. It will get more pronounced over time. ATTACHED IS A CHART DETAILING THE 2019 HISPANIC VOTE.  Full Article...


April 10, 2019
PRECKWINKLE'S MASSIVE LOSS WAS SYMBOLIC REJECTION, NOT REPUDIATION

Politicians are rejected by voters for what they represent; they are repudiated for what they have done. Toni Perckwinkle's massive 384,395-137,141 mayoral runoff loss to Lori Lightfoot was a SYMBOLIC REJECTION. Voters wanted to send a message, and she was the messenger. Prckwinkle got 26.3%.. She upped her 2/26 vote from 89,343 to 137,141, while Lightfoot upped her vote from 97,667 to 384,395. Turnout was down from 556,758 to 524,603. 67.1% of registered Chicagoans did not vote. There was both rejection and repudiation in the aldermanic runoffs. Analyzed are outcomes in the 39th, 40th, 33rd, 47th, 30th and 31st wards.  Full Article...


April 3, 2019
TRUMP'S PROBLEMS PALE IN COMPARISON TO NETANYAHU'S

Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netayahu, whose Likud majority faces a tough test on 4/9, has problems which make President Trump look like a Boy Scout. Netanyahu is facing an indictment after a two-year investigation, and is accused of bribery, fraud and breach of trust. Netanyahu has reacted in a Trump-like manner, calling media stories about him "fake news," and asserting that Israel is the "home of Jews alone." Historically, that's not true. (Next week: Analyses of the citywide and aldermanic vote in Chicago's 4/2 election.) Full Article...


March 27, 2019
PREDICTIONS: RUNAWAYS LOOM FOR MAYOR, AND IN 39TH AND 47TH WARDS -- AND A GAME-CHANGER IN 40TH WARD

It's a runaway for Chicago mayor. Lori Lightfoot will easily trounce Toni Preckwinkle on 4/2. It will be 300,000-230,000, a 57% win. Preckwinkle will lose all demographic sectors, even among blacks. In the primary, she finished second to Willie Wilson in the black wards. In the 39th Ward, it will be a 2,000-vote win for Sam Nugent. Matt Martin will cruise in the 47th Ward. There's been a game-changer in the 40th Ward, with the  disclosure of "battle rapper" lyrics written and sung by Andre Vasquez, verses deemed "homophobic and misogynistic." Vasquez looked on the verge, but will now lose to Ald. Pat O'Connor. Full Article...


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