February 19, 2020
MARTWICK HAS THE MONEY, MANPOWER TO BEAT O'TOOLE IN 10TH DISTRICT
Rob Martwick will beat Danny O’Toole in the March 17 10th District Democratic state senator primary for three reasons: Martwick will spend $300,000 to O’Toole’s $30,000. Martwick will have ten mailings to O’Toole’s two. And O’Toole will not win the 41st Ward by the requisite 70 percent he needs to prevail districtwide. Martwick will prevail 60/40. A major flap erupted when the city’s police union, Lodge 7 of the Fraternal Order of Police (FOP), endorsed Martwick over O’Toole, a decorated police officer who was shot in the line of duty and is a former U.S. Marine. FOP Lodge 7 quickly rescinded its decision, deeming that both Martwick and O’Toole are “highly qualified.” That “really angered and galvanized (the police vote) for O’Toole” in the district, said retired CPD lieutenant Mike Byrne, a close associate of Alderman Anthony Napolitano (41st), who has endorsed O’Toole. Full Article...
February 12, 2020
"OLIGARCHY PARTY" REIGNS SUPREME IN CHICAGO'S NORTHWEST SIDE POLITICS
Elections? Elections? We don’t need any (expletive) elections. That’s the reality of Chicago’s Northwest Side politics, where the “Oligarchy Party” dominates. Its philosophy is succinct. LET NO PUBLIC OFFICE GO UNFILLED. LET NO PERK OR SALARY GO UNCOLLECTED. And a well-paying VACANCY IS A TERRIBLE THING TO WASTE. Appoint somebody ASAP. And, most importantly and if possible, LEAVE NO KIN BEHIND. If there is some cushy vacant job to which one’s kid or spouse can be appointed, then JUST DO IT. Real quick. An oligarchy is defined as a form of government in which ruling power belongs to a few persons…and that means Democratic committeepersons for legislative office, the Illinois Supreme Court for judicial office, and the county Democratic chairman for party office. Here is an analysis of IL House contests in the 19th and 20th Districts. Full Article...
February 5, 2020
''YEAR OF THE LATINA"" LOOMS IN RACES FOR CLERK, JUDGES
It is conventionally postulated that age 70 is the new age 50. In 2020 politics, Latinas – Hispanic women candidates -- are the new Irish-surnamed women. “The “Year of the Latina” looms. Conventional wisdom, as demonstrated in the past three decades, dictates that surnames and gender are determinative in contests where the candidates are unknown, such as judge or Metropolitan Water Reclamation commissioner. Women, especially with Irish surnames, invariably beat men (even with Irish names) and women with ethnic- or African-American-sounding surnames. Men win when multiple women run. Non-conventional wisdom may prevail on March 17. Full Article...
January 29, 2020
DESPITE TRUMP IMPEACHMENT, REPUBLICAN U.S. SENATE MAJORITY LOOKS SAFE
The Trump impeachment and trial is all about positioning – namely: the Democrats positioning their eventual nominee to beat the president on Nov. 5, to have a net gain of three U.S. Senate seats, and to retain their 232-197 U.S. House majority. Everybody knows that Trump is not going to be convicted by a vote of 67 or more senators, but the PROCESS is what matters. The prevailing Washington consensus is that, given current partisan polarization, and given the shortcomings of Democratic presidential aspirants, at least 19 sitting Republican senators or Republican-held seats are SAFE – in AK, AR, GA, GA (two seats are up), ID, IA, KN, KY, LA, MS, MT, NE, OK, SC, SD, TN, TX, WV and WY. Full Article...
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