For
Chicagoans, there is no respite. Nov. 7 was either
the end of the beginning or the beginning of the
end. While the rest of the country can return to
normalcy, immune from electioneering for at least
a year, Chicago residents must suffer through
another 5 months.
The
filing deadline for aldermanic and citywide
candidates is Dec. 18, and the nonpartisan primary
will be held on Feb. 27. In races where no
candidate receives 50 percent of the vote, a
runoff election will be held on April 3.
Here's
an update on key contests:
Mayor:
Incumbent Rich Daley, who has served since 1989,
will announce his candidacy for re-election in
mid-November. Even though 41 people have been
convicted in the Hired Truck scandal, with many
more to come, Chicagoans seem to have an
egregiously high tolerance level. They're
convinced that Daley knew about the test rigging,
favoritism and kickbacks, but they're also
convinced that a Daley-free Chicago would not be a
good place to live.
Call
Daley the "Mega-Teflon Man," and call
his field of foes "The Three Dwarfs."
Already in the race are Dock Walls, a onetime aide
to Mayor Harold Washington, and Cook County
Circuit Court Clerk Dorothy Brown. Still pondering
are U.S. Representatives Jesse Jackson Jr. and
Luis Gutierrez. All but Gutierrez are black.
The
U.S. Attorney's Office recently seized personnel
records of 29 current Department of Streets and
Sanitation employees, a sign that they're
targeting former department commissioner Al
Sanchez and former intergovernmental affairs chief
Victor Reyes, key leaders of Daley's Hispanic
Democratic Organization. If they're indicted,
Daley is next.
Of
the city's 1,416,101 registered voters, 45 percent
are white, 43 percent are black and 12 percent are
Hispanic.
Two
contradictory perceptions of 2007 prevail. One is
that numerous candidates will engender a large
voter turnout and that the anti-Daley field will
amass more than 50 percent of the vote, prompting
an April runoff -- which Daley would lose. The
second is that having three black candidates (and
one Hispanic candidate) against one white
candidate is the same as having one black
candidate against one white candidate and that
Daley's white-Hispanic coalition guarantees that
he'll get more than 50 percent of the vote.
Walls
is unknown. Brown has shown no inclination to
reach out to white voters. Only Jackson can
position himself as a reformer able to win
non-black votes, but he has been dawdling for over
a year. Jackson was supposed to build a field of
anti-Daley "reform" aldermanic
candidates, especially in white wards, and he has
failed spectacularly. He was supposed to assemble
a top-notch "rainbow" ticket for city
offices (mayor, clerk and treasurer), and he is
still scrounging for a credible Hispanic
candidate. County Commissioner Mike Quigley is
supposed to run with Jackson as a candidate for
city clerk, but Aldermen Ricardo Munoz (22nd) and
Billy Ocasio (26th) have spurned Jackson's
entreaties to run for treasurer.
To
date, there are no Jackson petitions on the
street. He can surely get 10,000 signatures by
Dec. 18, but he must get his act together soon.
City
Clerk: Longtime incumbent (1995 to 2006) Jim Laski
was convicted of bribery in the Hired Truck
program, and he resigned his $135,545-a-year job
in February. But the 2007 contest is a no-contest.
On Oct. 5 Daley appointed state Senator Miguel del
Valle, a 55-year-old Puerto Rican-born liberal, to
the post. Del Valle has been an outspoken foe of
Daley's Hispanic Democratic Organization, which
puts him in a perfect position for 2007: He's a
reformer, which means he can't be isolated as a
Daley stooge. The HDO can't oppose him, since
Daley supports him and he supports Daley.
Jose
Cerda III, Daley's policy advisor, resigned in
September to run for clerk, but the del Valle
appointment makes his candidacy moot. And if
Quigley runs, he will have to direct his attacks
at Daley, since del Valle is immune. My
prediction: del Valle will win in 2007, unopposed.
City
Treasurer: The specter of Miriam Santos, who held
the job from 1990 until her federal conviction in
1999 for extortion, mail fraud and wire fraud,
hangs over this race. Santos is readying a
petition to vacate her plea, claiming that the
Daley Administration somehow concealed evidence.
Daley appointed Judy Rice, the daughter of former
city police superintendent Fred Rice, to succeed
Santos in November of 2000.
In
2003 Rice, who is black, was unopposed, and she
looked like a cinch to win again in 2007. Santos
claims that lobbyists who testified against her
were unregistered. In an astute switcheroo, Rice
resigned and Stephanie Neely, a black investment
banker, was appointed by Daley to replace her --
thereby removing the Santos "issue" from
the table. Neely is unsullied by any connection to
scandal, and she will win easily.
45th
Ward: Is a big field a good field? That's the
question Alderman Pat Levar is asking himself. The
consensus is that the more candidates who run for
alderman, the less likely an incumbent will win 50
percent of the vote. But Levar, who has served
since 1987 and who is backed by Democratic
Committeeman Tom Lyons' potent organization, has a
built-in vote of at least 6,000. He already has
7,000 petition signatures, but that's far fewer
than the 12,000 he had in 2003.
Running
against Levar are Terry Boyke, his former top
aldermanic aide, Bob Bank, former president of the
Jefferson Park Neighborhood Association, who got
just 20.6 percent of the vote in a race against
Lyons for committeeman in 2004, and Anna Klocek, a
Forest Glen real estate agent who was active in
Pete Conway's 2003 campaign against Levar. A
possible candidate is police officer Jose Rivera.
Not running are Dave Haynes, the ward's Republican
committeeman, Mike Lappe, the 16th District police
neighborhood relations officer who withdrew from
the 2003 race, Conway, who has moved out of the
ward, Dan Schmidt, a longtime Republican activist
who Haynes tried to recruit, and George Powers,
another 2003 Conway worker.
The
early outlook: Hell hath no fury like Levar and
Lyons scorned. They are putting out the word that
Boyke, a 16-year precinct captain and Levar's aide
since 2000, is a turncoat and an ingrate. They
want to squash him, lest other precinct workers
stray from the fold. Boyke claims that he has
amassed more than 4,000 signatures, which is 10
times more than he needs. That should get him on
the ballot, but he lacks money and manpower.
According to Levar, a strong Daley supporter, no
current Democratic captain has defected to Boyke.
Give Levar the edge.
41st
Ward: Among the ward's Democrats, there is Frank
Coconate and there is Ralph Capparelli, and never
the twain shall meet.
And
incumbent Alderman Brian Doherty, a Republican, is
loving it. Doherty has served since 1991, and his
ward is very conservative and generally
Republican. In addition, the Democratic
organization is virtually nonexistent.
"I
can't find anybody" to run for alderman,
moans Capparelli, the ward's Democratic
committeeman, who served as a state representative
from 1971 to 2004. "Nobody's asked for my
support." Capparelli's legislative campaign
committee has more $650,000 on hand, but, said
Capparelli, "I won't waste it on somebody who
will lose." As for Coconate, "He's not a
Democrat," Capparelli said. "He's an
opportunist. I will never support him."
Coconate,
who heads the Northwest Side Democratic
Organization, has long been a critic of Capparelli,
and until recently he was aligned with the Jackson
campaign. Coconate said that Capparelli is a
"do-nothing" committeeman. "He
might as well be the Republican
committeeman," he said. "He's let the
organization dissolve."
Also
running are Gloria Sykes, a writer who got 8
percent of the vote in 2003, Mike Marzullo, a
Democratic activist who was poised to run for
committeeman against Capparelli in 2004, Diane
Blaszcyk, co-chairwoman of the Chicago Teachers'
Union Political Action Committee, and Andy DiVita,
an aviation department worker who Coconate said
was put up by his enemies. Doherty is a solid
favorite to win.
36th
Ward: Alderman Bill Banks has had no opponent for
the past three elections. In 2007 he will have at
least two: Nicholas Sposato, a Chicago firefighter
and community activist who already has obtained
1,500 signatures, and Susan DiLiberto, a local
school council member from the Galewood-Montclare
area. Banks already has accumulated more than
10,000 signatures. "There's a great deal of
discontent" in the 36th Ward, Sposato said.
"People want a change." Nevertheless,
Banks is a heavy favorite.
39th
Ward: A Laurino has been the alderman of the 39th
Ward since 1964, and incumbent Marge Laurino is in
no jeopardy in 2007. Chris Belz, a systems analyst
for the clerk of the Circuit Court, is running.
People are "upset over Laurino's neglect, and
over lack of ward services," said Belz, who
is supporting Dorothy Brown, his boss, for mayor.
Belz claims to have 2,200 signatures, and he says
that he is the "reform" candidate.
"He
is the Dorothy Brown candidate" for alderman,
said Democratic Committeeman Randy Barnette,
Laurino's husband. "There's absolutely no
support for Dorothy Brown in our ward."
Laurino will win easily.