January 23, 2019
RABID, ROBUST AND TEPID "PROGRESSIVES" BATTLE IN LAKEFRONT WARDS

The SOCIALISTS are coming! The SOCIALISTS are coming! No fewer than 25 self-described "democratic socialists" are running for Chicago alderman in 2019, and they -- and the city's tiny contingent of Republicans -- will have an impact on the Fe. 26 mayoral contest. Bernie Sanders got 320,000 votes in the 2016 Democratic presidential primary, or 45%, which indicates a hefty number of leftists, and Donald Trump and Bruce Rauner got 135,000 Republican votes in 2016 and 2018. Those voters have to go somewhere. Turnout will be around 950,000, and, with 17 candidates, 20% -- or about 190,000-210,000 votes -- will be enough for a runoff spot. The FRINGES matter. Also, Toni Preckwinkle is dropping like a rock. Full Article...


January 16, 2019
THE FRINGE -- "DEMOCRATIC SOCIALISTS" AND REPUBLICANS --WILL IMPACT 2019 CHICAGO MAYOR RACE

The SOCIALISTS are coming! The SOCIALISTS are coming! No fewer than 25 self-described "democratic socialists" are running for Chicago alderman in 2019, and they -- and the city's tiny contingent of Republicans -- will have an impact on the Fe. 26 mayoral contest. Bernie Sanders got 320,000 votes in the 2016 Democratic presidential primary, or 45%, which indicates a hefty number of leftists, and Donald Trump and Bruce Rauner got 135,000 Republican votes in 2016 and 2018. Those voters have to go somewhere. Turnout will be around 950,000, and, with 17 candidates, 20% -- or about 190,000-210,000 votes -- will be enough for a runoff spot. The FRINGES matter. Also, Toni Preckwinkle is dropping like a rock. Full Article...


January 9, 2019
GARCIA, ARROYO BATTLE TO BE NUMERO UNO

Joe Berrios is defeated and forgotten. Luis Gutierrez is off to meddle in Puerto Rico's politics. But in Chicago a battle is raging between US Rep. Chuy Garcia (D-4) and St. Rep. Luis Arroyo (D-3) to be the NUMERO UNO of Hispanic politics. The first skirmish will be the 2019 city elections, particularly the aldermanic contests. There are multiple subtexts: Mexican-American (Garcia) vs. Puerto Rican (Arroyo), South Side (Garcia) vs. North Side (Arroyo), "progressive" (Garcia) vs. machine-building (Arroyo), with sub-subtexts of gender, sexual orientation and ideology in the ward races. Hanging over it all is the 17-candidate mayoral contest, and the possibility that a Hispanic woman, Susana Mendoza, could win. There are 15 Hispanic-majority wards, but 3 have white aldermen. Garcia is focused on 4 South Side wards: 14, 15, 22, 25. He especially wants to beat Ed Burke. Arroyo is focused on 3 North Side wards: 26, 30, 31. Full Article...


January 2, 2019
2018 LOCKDOWNS, MELTDOWNS HAVE IMPLICATIONS FOR 2020

No more split-tickets. In 2018 everybody who was anti-Trump voted for every Democrat on the ballot, and everybody who was pro-Trump voted for every Republican on the ballot. That will carry over in 2020. 40 states are in lockdown mode. They include CA, IL, and NY, and Republicans had a meltdown in MI, PA, VA, NV and NM -- all Democratic. Republicans are still in a lockdown mode in TX, OH, IN, most of the South and non-coastal West. On the cusp are FL. WI, IA, and AZ. Trump won 306-232 in 2016. If he loses more than 36 electoral votes in 2020, he's gone. Full Article...


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