June 13, 2018
NICHES, 27% MARKET SHARE ARE KEY TO 2019 CHICAGO MAYORAL RACE

Multiple niches + 27% market share = 150,000 votes = runoff = next Chicago mayor. That's the formula for defeating Rahm Emanuel. A niche is defined as a unique place or position. Politically, there are multiple niches in Chicago, which consist of voting blocs ranging from 3-25%, all of whom vote their self-interest. They include LGBTQ, Republicans, union members, Our Revolution, #MeToo, blacks, Hispanics, feminists, cops and a host of others. The magic number is 150,000 votes, which will get that candidate into the 4/19 runoff with the mayor, who is eminently defeatable. However, all contenders except for Paul Vallas are polarizing, although each has a niche. Here's an early analysis. Full Article...


June 6, 2018
MONEY MATTERS -- PRITZKER SPENDS $62.3 MILLION AND WILL SPEND A LOT MORE

Money matters. J.B. Pritzker spent $62.3 million in his yearlong quest for the Democratic governor's nomination, or about $167,000-per day. Gov. Bruce Rauner (R) has $38.5 million on-hand. ATTACHED IS A FUNDRAISING CHART for the period 7/1/17 to 3/31/18 for candidates in the 2018 primary, 2018 election, and 2019 Chicago election. Mayor Emanuel has just $2.2 million on-hand, while Speaker Madigan has $7.8 million. Ald. Ed Burke has $9.2 million, but that may not save him. In two Northwest Side state representative contests, incumbents John D'Amico (D-15) and Rob Martwick (D-19) have huge fundraising advantages. State Rep. Lou Lang (D-16) once aspired to be speaker, but a recent "harassment" scrum caused him to quit as deputy majority leader, so his $1.4 million campaign kitty is now useless. Full Article...


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