September 25, 2002
MCAULIFFE VS. BUGIELSKI IS DEJA VU ALL OVER

That helps McAuliffe. Also, of the 20th District’s 122 precincts, 60 are from McAuliffe’s old 14th District, compared to just 30 from Bugielski’s old 19th District. McAuliffe spent $346,917 to Needham’s $256,227. Bugielski’s only advantage is in precinct coverage. Bugielski is counting on Banks’ workers to carry him in the 36th Ward. McAuliffe expects to have workers in every precinct. Bugielski’s tax-hike votes will devastate him in the 41st Ward, and McAuliffe will win districtwide by 900 votes – a margin much like his father’s, 20 years ago. Full Article...


September 18, 2002
COUNTY'S "BIG FOUR" EYE MAYORAL VACANCY

Will Mayor Rich Daley seek re-election? City Clerk Jim Laski, no Daley ally, would certainly run if there is a vacancy. If Sheahan runs for mayor, he’d be the law-and-order, stability candidate. Pappas won her first term by 668,165 votes. Orr’s only shot at being mayor would be if no prominent black ran, and Orr managed to get into a runoff with somebody like Sheahan, a Daley, or Lipinski. Don’t count on Orr to run. Houlihan will win overwhelmingly. If Sheahan runs for mayor, expect Houlihan to take a pass. Full Article...


September 11, 2002
MADIGAN "LOCK" LOOKS SOLID ON ILLINOIS HOUSE

Madigan has kept the House Democratic Caucus united by focusing on opposing the Republicans, particularly the Illinois Senate majority. Politically, it would be best for Madigan if Jim Ryan were elected governor. One lesson Republicans can learn from Madigan is to persevere. A Democrat is favored to win in 61 districts, a Republican in 50. 20th District (Northwest Side Chicago): Democratic incumbent Bob Bugielski is facing Republican incumbent Mike McAuliffe. 83rd District (Aurora): Madigan packed every possible Hispanic voter into this district. My prediction: A 68-50 Madigan majority. Full Article...


September 4, 2002
GOP SENATE "BULWARK" IS ABOUT TO DISAPPEAR

Overall, Democrats took the districts of 14 Republican senators, excised all the Democratic voters possible from those areas, and created eight mega-Republican districts; they then used the leftover territory to shuffle the boundaries of existing Democratic districts and create six new Democratic-leaning districts. That makes 28 sure Democratic seats. If Garrett wins, that’s 31 seats, and a Democratic majority. Welch will beat Republican Rod Thorson. In an open Republican seat, in the Peoria-Galesburg area, the Democrat, Knox County State’s Attorney Paul Mangieri, could upset Republican Dale Risinger. Full Article...


 

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