How
low can Rod go? That's the question state
legislators are gleefully pondering in
Springfield, as they debate the depths to which
Blagojevich's poll numbers, political support and
moral credibility will plummet.
In
a town where camaraderie and conviviality are the
norm, the governor's belligerence, recalcitrance,
petulance, egotism and arrogance are deemed
abhorrent -- if not deviant. "The man has a
character flaw," Democratic state Senator
Mike Jacobs is quoted as saying.
Blagojevich
does not govern, which means to direct, lead or
manage. Instead, he reacts, which means he
responds to polls. His style is confrontational,
and he is in a perpetual campaign mode,
undoubtedly convinced that voters are more
impressed by a governor who is a fighter than by a
governor who is a doer. He seeks sound bites, not
accomplishments.
"What's
wrong with him?" lamented state
Representative Joe Lyons (D-19). "We, as
Democrats, could have accomplished so much, but
because of him, we have accomplished so
little."
According
to Lyons, the governor had a 6-year game plan to
vault to the presidency: Govern competently during
his first term, get re-elected in 2006, and then
run for president in 2008. That will not happen.
"He's alienated every important Democratic
politician in Illinois," Lyons said. In
short, Blagojevich is a failure.
According
to the late-August Rasmussen Reports poll,
Blagojevich's job approval rating is 10 points
lower than President Bush's in Illinois -- 22
percent excellent or good, while a stunning 78
percent disapprove, with 25 percent rating him
fair and 53 percent poor. A month earlier a
Rasmussen poll put him at 25/64
approval/disapproval. Among blacks the governor's
disapproval is at 57 percent, and among women, to
whom he is aiming his "Illinois Covered"
health care initiative, his disapproval was at 84
percent; he was at 70 percent among men. Clearly,
in his battle with the Democratic-controlled
General Assembly, the governor is not emerging as
a hero.
Does
this faze the governor? Not at all, according to
one Springfield lobbyist. "He figures he has
time on his side and that the health care issue
will be his salvation." The next
gubernatorial primary is in March of 2010, fully
30 months away, and by making Democratic Illinois
House Speaker Mike Madigan a target of his scorn,
he hopes to tarnish his daughter, state Attorney
General Lisa Madigan, who is preparing to
challenge him.
Adds
the lobbyist: "Blagojevich's principal
advisors were Lon Monk and Brad Tusk, who had jobs
in the Clinton Administration. They saw the fight,
confront, attack approach work against Newt
Gingrich and the congressional Republicans. The
more confrontational Bill Clinton, the more his
liberal base loved him, but in Illinois the
Democrats are in control. He's demonizing
Democrats, not Republicans, and the Democratic
base is getting angry."
Robert
Howard, in his 1988 book on Illinois' governors,
"Mostly Good and Competent Men," aptly
described Democrat Dan Walker (1973 to 1976) as an
"adversarial governor" and said,
"Scornful of compromising . . . downgraded
the importance of the legislature and aggressively
used 'me-versus-you' tactics . . . for 4 years,
hostility prevailed." Sounds just like
Blagojevich. In 1976 Walker lost renomination by a
wide margin.
Here's
a synopsis of Blagojevich's recent blunders:
RTA/CTA
bailout: The governor is adamant that he will not
raise either the state income tax or the sales tax
during his reign. State Representative Julie Hamos
(D-18) of Evanston labored mightily to craft a
$534 million bailout bill which included a 0.25
percent sales tax hike in Cook County and a 0.50
percent hike in the Collar Counties. Blagojevich
promised a veto.
With
service cuts looming for Sept. 16 -- the mass
transit "Doomsday Scenario" --
Blagojevich offered $24 million in state aid,
pilfered from other state accounts. The agency
needed $110 million. Finally, with much fanfare,
Blagojevich used his powers to allocate $91
million, including the entire paratransit and
discounted fares subsidies. When those funds are
gone, another crisis will arise.
Health
care insurance: Blagojevich's "Illinois
Covered" plan, which supposedly insured 1.4
million uninsured adults, had a price tag of $2.1
billion, which would have increased to $4 billion
annually within 4 years. This was to be financed
by a cigarette tax hike of 75 to 90 cents per pack
and assorted revenues from casinos and sale of a
75-year lottery lease.
The
plan was not approved by the legislature, but
Blagojevich decided that that he could veto $500
million from the state's 1-month, $59.5 billion
budget and, in conjunction with his 2 percent
funds transfer authority, allocate that money to
his coveted $463 million health plan.
Among
his vetoes were "member initiative"
projects in the districts of every legislator.
Each senator got $1.3 million of earmarked
projects in their district, and each
representative got $650,000. Since Madigan's
Democrats opposed him in the House, the governor
vetoed the projects of all 67 Democrats but not of
the 51 Republicans. Since Senate President Emil
Jones is a backer and Republican minority leader
Frank Watson isn't, the governor vetoed the
projects of the 22 Republican senators but not the
37 Democrats. According to Blago, he vetoed
"pork" -- or at least the
"pork" of his enemies.
Budget
cuts: The state's month-to-month Fiscal Year 2008
budget contained an additional $597 million in
school funding. This was far less than the $1.5
billion sought by Blagojevich and Jones, but more
than the $400 million targeted by Madigan. When
Blagojevich first ran for governor, he promised to
raise education spending by $1,000 per student
over 4 years; he's increased it by about $400 in 6
years, with more than 80 percent of state funding
being allocated to teacher and administrator
salaries and benefits and to independent
contractors. Nationwide, Illinois ranks 29th in
education spending.
Yet
Blagojevich didn't veto the cost-of-living pay
hikes for himself, state officials and
legislators.
Infrastructure:
A typical liberal, Blagojevich views every problem
as an opportunity to spend taxpayers' money. When
a bridge collapsed in Minnesota, Blagojevich
immediately called for a $20 billion capital
projects bill. An estimated 700 of 7,000 state
bridges need repair, and 90 have reduced lanes.
How to pay for it? Bonds, borrowing or an
expansion of gaming positions at current casinos.
The governor opposes any new casinos, or any sales
tax hike.
The
betting is that the governor won't sign any
infrastructure repair funding bill unless the
legislature passes his health care package.
New
taxes: Earlier this year Blagojevich, claiming
that he wanted to "ease the burden on the
middle class" and that he is a
"pro-business governor," unveiled a 2008
budget with $33 billion in new revenue, including
$10 billion from the lottery lease, $16 billion
from new pension bonds and $7 billion in new
business taxes, including a gross receipts tax and
a payroll tax. The business community was
outraged. The plan was dead on arrival in
Madigan's House. Prominent Illinois Democrats such
as Lieutenant Governor Pat Quinn, Comptroller Dan
Hynes and Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias opposed it.
Yet
Blagojevich lamely tried to maintain the fiction
that he is a tax fighter, not a tax hiker.
Stupid
lawsuits: Blagojevich promised to "rock the
system" when he ran in 2002. At his current
pace, he'll barely prompt a quiver. He's taken his
battle with Madigan to the Sangamon County court.
The governor ordered 16 special sessions, at a
cost of $42,000 per day, over the summer. He's
suing to compel the legislators to address the
issue that he stipulates on the day he chooses.
He's also sued the House clerk to compel entry of
his vetoes in the House Journal.
Perhaps
somebody should sue the governor for the $5,800 it
costs each day he flies from Chicago to
Springfield and back, and accomplishes nothing.
Where's
the governor's campaign money? During his first
term, Blagojevich raised $30 million, or roughly
$625,000 per month. Thus far, as of June 30, 6
months into his second term, he's raised $283,782,
or just $47,297 per month. Why? First, because the
federal probe into Blagojevich donations from
state contractors, appointees and employees has
chilled the environment. Don't donate, and don't
get investigated. And second, Blagojevich is
looking like a loser in 2010. So why donate?
The
governor's hope: That a flock of contenders --
Quinn, Madigan, Paul Vallas -- all run against him
in the 2010 primary, splitting the vote. But
Blagojevich is looking more and more like Walker.
Because of his truculence, petulance and
ignorance, he'll surely rank among Illinois' worst
governors.