As
the 2006 election approaches, and as the Sept. 20
date to begin circulating nominating petitions
looms, all remains quiet on the Northwest Side
front.
Of
the diverse group of area state representatives,
which includes suburbanites Lou Lang (D-16) of
Skokie, Beth Coulson (R-17) of Glenview and
Rosemary Mulligan (R-65) of Des Plaines, as well
as Chicagoans Joe Lyons (D-19), Mike McAuliffe
(R-20), John D'Amico (D-15), John Fritchey (D-11)
and Rich Bradley (D-40), none is in any serious
electoral jeopardy in 2006.
As
can be discerned from the adjoining
vote chart, all of the legislators voted in
lock step with their party on fiscal issues.
McAuliffe, Coulson and Mulligan voted against the
2006 budget submitted by Governor Rod Blagojevich,
while the local Democrats supported it. But there
was significant divergence on a few social issues.
On an ideological spectrum, McAuliffe is the most
conservative, while Bradley, Lang and Fritchey are
the most uniformly liberal. Lyons and D'Amico are
somewhat conservative on social issues, while
Mulligan and Coulson are liberal on social issues.
Each
incumbent is politically astute, and each is a
good fit for his or her respective district. None
is likely to be beaten in 2006. Here's a look at
the voting records and political prospects of
each:
*
McAuliffe, age 41, is ready to catch a break. He
was appointed to his seat in 1996 after the death
of his father, and he won his first full term in
the fall by just 1,895 votes, getting 52.4 percent
of the total. After easy re-elections in 1998 and
2000, McAuliffe found himself remapped into a
Democratic-friendly district, and he faced a
fellow incumbent, Democrat Bob Bugielski, in 2002.
McAuliffe out-campaigned and out-spent Bugielski
and won by 2,583 votes, with 53.7 percent of the
votes cast. In 2004 the supposedly popular 34-year
incumbent Democrat Ralph Capparelli moved into the
district to run against McAuliffe, but the
energetic Republican again triumphed, this time by
a thumping 7,687-vote margin (59.2 percent). No
Democrat of any stature is poised to challenge
McAuliffe in 2006.
On
issues, McAuliffe is a fiscal and social
conservative, opposing abortion and occasionally
backing gun owners' rights. But he supports of
expanding gaming and is in favor of a Rosemont
casino. In 2005 he backed a bill requiring
temporary gun show receipt cards to be destroyed,
supported medical malpractice caps, backed a
gaming tax rollback and opposed a smoking ban.
*
Coulson, age 50, was thought to be toast in 2004.
After winning her fourth term in the redistricted
17th District in 2002 by just 666 votes, getting
just 50.9 percent of the total, Coulson was
targeted for extinction in 2004 by both local and
Springfield Democrats.
But
her Democratic foe, Michele Bromberg, a Skokie
trustee who Democrats thought fit the district's
"demographic" (meaning a liberal Jewish
woman), ran an inept campaign, attacking Coulson
for the "sin" of being a Republican and
failing to give voters a salient reason to oust
their moderately liberal incumbent. Coulson won by
3,849 votes (54 percent). During 2005 Coulson
voted the party line on all fiscal votes, opposing
increases in education and social services
funding. That could give an opening to a Democrat
in 2006, but none seems yet interested.
*
D'Amico, age 42, won his first term in 2004,
succeeding Capparelli. He beat Republican Bill
Miceli by 12,676 votes (66.8 percent). D'Amico is
the nephew of 39th Ward Alderman Marge Laurino and
the grandson of the late Alderman Tony Laurino.
Miceli's campaign emphasized that both of
D'Amico's parents were convicted of being ghost
payrollers and that D'Amico was a city payroller
himself.
But
now D'Amico's lineage is ancient history, and he
will be judged on his legislative performance. He
backed the Democratic House majority on fiscal
issues, supported gun control and opposed medical
malpractice reforms, but he did stray twice, on
death penalty reforms and smoking bans. He is
utterly safe in 2006.
*
Lyons, age 54, is now part of the Democratic
leadership, as one of six assistant majority
leaders, taking Capparelli's spot, which is
accorded a Northwest Side Chicagoan. He opposes
abortion and gay marriages, but he is otherwise a
reliable Democratic vote. He was re-elected in
2004 by 17,755 votes, getting 77.8 percent of the
total, and he was unopposed in 2002. He intends to
stay in Springfield for another decade or two.
*
Lang, age 55, also an assistant majority leader,
is pondering a run for governor in 2006, and he is
not hesitant to criticize Blagojevich. Lang is a
champion of gaming interests and riverboat
expansion, and he wants to use the revenue to
augment education funding. He won with 77 percent
of the vote in 2004 and with 76 percent in 2002.
If he retires, a Democrat will win the seat, but
not before a brutal primary between a candidate
from Skokie and a candidate from the West Rogers
Park 50th Ward.
*
Fritchey, age 41, is ambitious, articulate and
eager to move on to greener pastures. He wanted to
run for 32nd Ward Democratic committeeman in 2004,
to give himself a more formidable political power
base, but retiring incumbent Terry Gabinski
objected, promptly unretired, and announced for
re-election. Fritchey then withdrew. Fritchey was
re-elected with 72 percent of the vote in 2004 and
with 87 percent in 2002. He can keep his seat for
a lifetime if he chooses, but, according to
insiders, he is exploring two potential races: for
mayor in 2007 if Rich Daley retires or for state
attorney general in 2010 if Lisa Madigan runs for
governor. On legislative votes, Fritchey is a
consistent liberal.
*
Mulligan, age 64, could have retiring state
Senator Dave Sullivan's (R-33) seat for the asking
or the taking, but she doesn't want to give up her
14 years of House seniority at her age to be a
junior, minority member of the Illinois Senate.
Springfield Democrats poured in resources to beat
Mulligan in 2002, but she triumphed by 6,150 votes
(60.7 percent); in 2004 she won by 12,165 votes
(65.9 percent). Mulligan votes with the House
Republican minority on all fiscal matters, but she
does deviate on social issues -- backing abortion
rights, gay rights and gun control. Mulligan has
entrenched herself, and she is utterly safe.
*
Bradley, age 50, is a lifetime city payroller who
is teetering on the edge of a political precipice.
He collects salaries from both the legislature and
the City of Chicago government (as an assistant
general superintendent in the Department of
Streets and Sanitation), and he represents a House
district that is 47 percent Hispanic. Bradley is a
dependable liberal on fiscal and social issues,
but some time this decade, although probably not
in 2006, he will face a formidable Hispanic
Democrat who will take the seat.