Democrats
in the Illinois Senate, while fitfully languishing in the throes of
being an irrelevant minority for a decade (from 1993 to 2002), in a
body dominated by the much-reviled (by Democrats) Pate Philip and his
conservative Republicans, were a very disgruntled bunch.
They
dreamt of the day when they would regain a Senate majority, which they
had held from 1975 to 1992. They dreamt of the day when Democrats
would dominate Illinois government, controlling the House, the Senate
and the governorship, which had last occurred in 1975-76. They dreamt
of the day when they could pay back the Republicans and make them as
powerless as the Senate Democrats were for a decade.
And,
most importantly, they dreamt of the day when a veritable political
paradise would dawn, with Democrats lavishing oodles of state dollars
on their various constituencies: Lots of spending on road-building and
capital development to keep organized labor happy. Lots of money on
education to keep the teachers' lobby happy. Lots of funding for state
jobs to keep Democratic county chairmen and politicians happy and to
award state patronage to "deserving" Democrats. And, lastly,
lavish funding for all the programs advocated by those liberal,
pro-Democrat groups and special interests that had suffered through 26
years of Republican gubernatorial control.
In
short, when the Democrats' dream was realized, when they won total
dominance of Illinois government in the 2002 election, "Paradise
Lost" for 26 years was supposed to be transformed into
"Paradise Found."
But,
to the consternation of hungry and ambitious Democrats throughout
Illinois, their dream, to use a current phrase, ain't happening.
Governor Rod Blagojevich's unconventional but generally frugal fiscal
policies, which are geared more toward electing him president in 2008
than to helping Illinois Democrats, coupled a slow economy, has made
the Democrats' projected "Paradise Found" an impossibility
for the foreseeable future.
That
makes a lot of Springfield Democrats very disconsolate. Instead of a
2004 budget larded with pork and new spending, Blagojevich addressed a
$5 billion revenue shortfall. While Blagojevich's "creative"
financing enabled him to spend an additional $400 million on public
schools, he still cut spending for prisons, higher education and the
state payroll in order to balance the budget. Next year likely will be
worse, with more cuts needed.
The
political irony here is that the Democrats' control of the General
Assembly -- a 32-27 majority in the Senate and a 66-52 majority in the
House -- is defeat-proof. The Democratic-designed remap of the state's
legislative districts, which was picked by a lottery, virtually
guarantees Democratic control of both chambers for the next decade,
even if there is a state income tax hike. So Blagojevich, if he wanted
to, could raise taxes and hike spending, and Democrats could support
that and not suffer at the polls. But Blagojevich wants to be
president, so a tax hike will not happen any time soon.
As
set forth in the adjoining vote chart,
the Northwest Side's Democrats are an ethnically diverse but
politically cohesive lot. Those Democrats -- Ira Silverstein (D-8),
Jim DeLeo (D-10), John Cullerton (D-6), Miguel del Valle (D-2) and
Iris Martinez (D-20) -- voted alike on every issue except the SBC rate
hike for phone carriers, which Silverstein voted against, and on the
state ethics bill, on which Cullerton voted present. Also included in
the chart is Republican Dave Sullivan (R-33), from the Park Ridge-Des
Plaines-Arlington Heights area; he voted with the Republican minority
on most issues, which means he diverged from the Democrats on about a
third of all roll-call votes.
Under
the Illinois Constitution, the 118 state representatives are elected
for 2-year terms, but the 59 state senators, over the decade following
each remap, have staggered terms: one-third have a 2-4-4 sequence,
meaning that they must seek re-election in 2004, 2008 and 2012;
one-third have 4-2-4, which means running in 2006, 2008 and 2012; and
one third have 4-4-2, which means running in 2006, 2010 and 2012.
Silverstein,
del Valle and Martinez have the 2-4-4 sequence, which means they must
first run in 2004. DeLeo has the 4-4-2, and Sullivan and Cullerton
have the 4-2-4, which means that they must first run in 2006.
Here's
the early outlook for each senator:
Silverstein,
age 42, was first nominated in an upset in the 1998 Democratic primary
over 39th Ward Committeeman Randy Barnette to replace the retiring
26-year incumbent, Howie Carroll, who was running for Congress. A huge
turnout in the east end of the district, among predominantly Jewish
voters, ensured Jan Schakowsky's victory over Carroll in the
congressional contest -- and also gave Silverstein an 844-vote win
over Barnette. Silverstein has since entrenched himself in his 8th
District, which encompasses West Rogers Park (50th Ward), where he
resides, plus the Northwest Side (39th and 40th wards) and south
Skokie and Lincolnwood. Silverstein was unopposed in the 2002 primary.
Silverstein
is chairman of the Senate Executive Committee, which passed the
Blagojevich bond bill. Barnette did not oppose him in the 2002
primary, and he will not do so in 2004. Silverstein was elected easily
in 1998, and he was re-elected in 2002 with 69.3 percent of the vote
over Republican Joe Hedrick. He split from his party's majority on the
SBC vote, but otherwise he has been a loyal cog in the Springfield
Democratic machine. He will win another term in 2004.
DeLeo,
age 52, was first elected to the Senate in 1992, and he now is an
assistant majority leader. Each legislator is paid $57,619 annually,
and those in the leadership, like DeLeo, and all committee chairmen,
like Silverstein, are paid an extra $12,000. DeLeo's old district was
merged with that of Republican Wally Dudycz in 2002, and Dudycz
retired. DeLeo was elected unopposed in 2002, and he is up for
re-election in 2006. He is quite safe.
Cullerton,
age 54, first elected in 1990, and Sullivan, age 38, first appointed
in 1998 and elected in 2000 and 2002, are up in 2006. Each should win
re-election.
Del
Valle, age 52, is a longtime adversary of U.S. Representative Luis
Gutierrez (D-4). He was first elected to the Senate in 1986, and he is
the chairman of the Senate Education Committee, as well as an
assistant majority leader. Both he and Martinez, who won a 2002
primary over then-alderman Mike Wojcik, are up for re-election in
2004. Del Valle covets Gutierrez's congressional seat, and Gutierrez
has backed candidates who have failed to beat him in a primary; del
Valle will stay in the legislature until the 4th U.S. House District
seat opens. Both del Valle and Martinez will win easily in 2006 in
their Hispanic-majority districts.