It's
the blind leading the blind. It's the dumb
following the dumb. It's beyond moronic.
But,
quite incredibly, of the 17 county commissioners,
six Democrats -- five black and one Hispanic --
have allied themselves with beleaguered Cook
County Board President Todd Stroger and will bear
the stigma of running for re-election in 2010 as a
"Stroger Stooge."
When
the board, at Stroger's behest, passed the 1
percent sales tax hike in March of 2008, nine
commissioners voted yes. (See
adjacent vote chart.) The "Todd
Squad" includes black commissioners Earlean
Collins, Robert Steele, Jerry Butler, Bill Beavers
and Deborah Sims, Hispanic commissioner Joseph
Mario Moreno and white commissioners Joan Murphy,
John Daley and Larry Suffredin. The tax hike was
supposed to raise $400 million annually in new
revenue.
When
the board voted 12-3 to repeal the hike in May,
the "Todd Squad" dwindled to Beavers,
Butler and Steele, with Collins and Sims absent.
When
Stroger vetoed the repeal, necessitating a
three-fourths vote (13 of 17) of the commissioners
to override, the "Toddler" prevailed.
The vote in June was 11-4, with Beavers, Butler,
Sims and Moreno voting to sustain Stroger's veto
and Collins and Steele voting present. The repeal
was two votes short.
Now,
fueled by voter wrath, the proverbial Sword of
Damocles is set to fall -- but not only on the
"Stroger Stooges." At least eight of the
12 Democratic incumbents will face difficult
primaries if they choose to run. Beavers, Butler
and Collins are likely to retire. The credibility
of Collins, Moreno, Sims and Steele, all of whom
prevaricated, vacillated and then capitulated to
the "Toddler," has imploded. Murphy and
Suffredin, who were "enablers" for the
tax hike, look like fools.
Moreno
voted for the sales tax hike, then for its repeal,
and then to sustain Stroger's veto. What did
Stroger promise him? Moreno, a profile in erratic
opportunism, is a disgrace to good government. He
will face serious primary opposition from Len
Dominguez in his heavily Mexican-American
Southwest Side Chicago district, which also
includes Cicero.
Steele,
who inherited his mother's county board seat in
2006, voted for the sales tax, opposed the repeal,
and then voted present on the veto override.
That's total cowardice. Steele has been ailing in
recent months, and he may not run for a second
term in his West Side district.
Collins,
a state senator from 1977 to 1998, draws a state
pension of $75,912 atop her county salary of
$85,000. She voted for the sales tax hike, was
absent for the repeal, and then voted present on
the override. That's "public evasion,"
not "public service." She makes $150,000
a year at the taxpayers' trough, but she doesn't
have the courage to show up or vote on tough
issues.
Murphy,
with dubious wisdom, proposed a 2-cent sales tax
hike in 2007, which would have raised $1 billion
in county revenues. Just imagine the hordes of
payrollers who could have been hired with a $4
billion county budget. She voted for the 2008 tax
hike, then for the repeal and the override. That
means that her instinct for survival overcame her
previous stupidity. She can expect opposition in
2010, most likely from John Fairman, a trustee in
Justice.
Suffredin,
of Evanston, provided the critical ninth vote to
enact the sales tax hike. He extracted a promise
to create a new hospital governing board,
effectively ending the board president's control
over county health hiring. But Suffredin, who lost
a 2008 bid for state's attorney, getting only 18.1
percent of the vote, is trying to make amends,
backing the repeal and override. He may run for
board president, opening his seat.
The
key to survival among the Republicans, who hold
five of the 17 seats, is not their implacable
opposition to Stroger and tax hikes; instead, it's
demographics. Cook County's suburbs are becoming
relentlessly more Democratic. That puts Republican
incumbents Pete Silvestri, Gregg Goslin, Tony
Peraica, Liz Gorman and Tim Schneider at risk. All
won unimpressively in 2006. If 2010 brings another
Democratic tsunami, some or all could lose.
Here's
an early analysis of developing board races:
12th
District (Central Northwest side, 47th Ward):
Two-term incumbent Democrat Forrest Claypool is
retiring from politics, forgoing a run against
Stroger. The hot rumor is that 47th Ward Alderman
Gene Schulter, who also is the ward Democratic
committeeman, will run for Claypool's spot. That
would entail a $50,000-a-year pay cut, but
Schulter, age 61, may want a change after 34 years
in the City Council. The Ravenswood/Lincoln Square
47th Ward dominates the 12th District, so Schulter
can dictate Claypool's successor. Other possible
47th Ward candidates are attorney Dan Farley, who
is the son of a former state senator, and Tom
O'Donnell, who is an aide to Sheriff Tom Dart.
9th
District (Far Northwest Side and close-in
suburbs): Republican Silvestri, the village
president of Elmwood Park, is an early favorite to
win a fourth term. He won with 54 percent of the
vote in 1994, 55.8 percent in 1998, 53.8 percent
in 2002 and 56.7 percent in 2006. There is a
sizable base Democratic vote in the district, and
2006 loser Jodi Biacalana is poised to run again.
But
Silvestri has an ace in the hole. He is allied
with the Republican organization of Alderman Brian
Doherty (41st) and state Representative Mike
McAuliffe (R-20) in the north end of the district,
and he and state Representative Skip Saviano
(R-77) have a potent political operation in the
Elmwood Park area. All of those Republicans have a
nonaggression pact with the two Democrats who
dominate the 36th Ward, in the south end of the
district, Alderman and Committeeman Bill Banks and
state Senator Jim DeLeo (D-10). Saviano once was
an aide to DeLeo.
In
2006 Biacalana, who lives in the 36th Ward, won
her base over Silvestri by just 229 votes;
Silvestri won the 41st Ward by 3,661 votes and
Norwood Park Township by 1,330 votes.
The
outlook: As long as the "Banks/DeLeo
Machine" dominates the 36th Ward, and as long
as Democrats remain enfeebled in the 41st Ward,
Silvestri is unbeatable.
17th
District (Park Ridge, Des Plaines, Mount Prospect
and a narrow corridor to Lemont, Orland Park and
Tinley Park): Incumbent Gorman's husband was a
business partner of Ed Vrdolyak, and there is some
negative fallout attaching to her. She was first
elected unopposed in 2002, and she was reelected
in 2006 with 55.5 percent of the vote. She is the
Orland Township Republican committeeman, she
briefly was the Republican county chairman, and
she has been feuding with Peraica.
A
likely 2010 Democratic candidate for the seat is
Dr. Victor Forys, a Polish American who got 11.7
percent of the vote in the 2009 Democratic primary
for the 5th U.S. House District. If Forys can
assemble both a geographic (north versus south)
and ethnic coalition, he could win. Other
candidates include Orland Park Trustee Jim Dodge
and RTA Board member Dennis Cook. Well known
Orland Park Mayor Dan McLaughlin also is a
possibility, and he would be favored in a primary.
The outlook: Gorman has huge problems.
16th
District (Berwyn, Riverside, Brookfield, LaGrange,
Lyons): Peraica was the losing Republican
candidate for board president in 2006, getting
46.5 percent of the vote, and for state's attorney
in 2008, getting 25.3 percent. Despite his
consistent anti-tax and anti-Stroger stances,
Peraica remains a much disliked, polarizing
politician with a legion of enemies in both
parties.
In
2006 Peraica eked out an 845-vote (50.6 percent)
win over Democrat Bill Gomolinski, who now is a
judge. He won in 2002 by 4,565 votes (53.1
percent) over Melrose Park Mayor Ron Serpico.
Peraica, who also is the Lyons Township Republican
committeeman, won the job in 2002 with just 37.6
percent of the vote in a three-man field, and he
barely beat Mike LaPidus in 2006, winning by 96
votes.
"I'm
running for reelection as commissioner and
committeeman," Peraica said, adding that he
is undecided about whether to launch another bid
for board president.
For
2010, Peraica expects a primary challenge from
Berwyn Township Republican Committeeman Tony
Castrogiovanni, who got only 383 votes (4.5
percent of the total cast) in the 2009 Berwyn
mayor's race. Possible Democratic candidates
include Countryside Mayor Robert Conrad and McCook
Mayor Jeff Tobolski. Former Berwyn mayor Mike
O'Connor, who lost in 2009, may run as the Green
Party candidate. The outlook: Peraica is
favored in a three-way race. Otherwise, it's a
toss-up.
15th
District (northwest suburban Hanover, Schaumburg
and Elk Grove townships): Schneider upset 32-year
incumbent Carl Hansen in the 2006 primary, and he
beat Democrat Jim Dasakis by just 2,758 votes,
getting 52.3 percent of the vote. The area is
trending Democratic. The outlook: Schneider is in
jeopardy.
14th
District (New Trier, Northfield, Wheeling and
Palatine townships): Incumbent Gregg Goslin is
obscure and inoffensive, and he won with 53.9
percent of the vote in 2006. The outlook: The
district is trending Democratic, and a credible
female Democrat could beat Goslin.