Twain popularized the phrase that there are three
kinds of lies: lies, damn lies and statistics. As
a public service, this column dissects some
gigantic political lies, which can be debunked and
rebutted by statistics.
One: There is "an undeniable record of
Jewish anti-black behavior," said Nation of
Islam Minister Louis Farrakhan, who has long
supported a Palestinian state. Farrakhan demands
"repair of my people from the damage,"
which presumably means monetary reparations.
has the world's largest Jewish population,
approximately 5.7 million, which exceeds Israel's
population of 4.7 million. According to the 2000
census, there were about 1,970,000 Jews in the New
York area, 265,000 around Chicago, 630,000 around
Los Angeles and 355,000 in the Miami-Fort
Lauderdale area. Jews are about 2 percent of the
total U.S. voter pool, or roughly 3 million.
Jewish vote has been rock-ribbed Democratic for
almost a century. Republican Dwight Eisenhower got
40 percent of the Jewish vote in 1956, and Ronald
Reagan got 36 percent in 1984, but Bill Clinton
won 80 percent, Al Gore got 79 percent and John
Kerry got 76 percent, and in the 2008 election, 75
percent of Jewish voters supported Barack Obama
over John McCain.
the fact that the median income of a Jewish
household is $53,300, much higher than the $39,500
average of the U.S. population, Jews tend to vote
their culture over their economic status. They are
suspicious of concentrated power, sympathetic
toward disadvantaged minorities -- which they
perceive they once were -- and supportive of
government attempts to redistribute wealth.
Hastings, a black Democratic congressman from
Florida, observed that there is a "nexus
between Jews and blacks by virtue of the Holocaust
and by virtue of slavery which, independent of
each other, were horrible events" and which
created a bond.
where is Farrakhan's "anti-black
behavior?" African Americans should vocally
repudiate this pernicious lie.
Two: "We need to elect more Democrats,"
said Joe Berrios, the Democratic candidate for
Cook County assessor, who claimed that President
Barack Obama's 2012 reelection prospects in
Illinois are now "in jeopardy" because
the independent assessor candidacy of Forrest
Claypool "will elect Republicans (Bill) Brady
and (Mark) Kirk and make Illinois more
to Berrios: Democrats occupy every statewide
office, every Cook County office and every Chicago
office. There are no Republicans anywhere to oust.
has been said that patriotism is the last refuge
of scoundrels. Berrios, the county Democratic
chairman, is seeking refuge in partisanship. His
plea: Vote for me because I'm a Democrat.
filed his nominating petitions on June 21 with
more than 90,000 signatures -- an astounding
logistical accomplishment. He needed 25,000
signatures to get on the ballot. Clearly, such
buzz words as "independent"
"reform," and "property tax
reduction" were motivators to procure
signatures, as they will be for Claypool's
campaign. Berrios's attorneys closely scrutinized
the petitions, and they concluded that while
60,000 could be challenged, due largely to the
signers not being registered voters, such an
effort would give Claypool helpful publicity and
ultimately would fall short of knocking him off
the three-candidate Democratic primary, insider
Berrios, who is of Puerto Rican ancestry, won with
an anemic 39.2 percent of the vote, getting
203,397 votes in a turnout of 519,716. He won 22
of 50 Chicago wards, losing the black and
Lakefront areas, and 17 of 30 suburban townships,
again losing predominantly black and white liberal
in Cook County in 2006 was 1,350,915, with 670,222
in Chicago and 680,693 in the suburbs. In the 2006
race for assessor, incumbent Democrat Jim Houlihan
won by 1,010,398-246,185, getting 80.4 percent of
registration is 1,444,277 in Chicago and 1,439,415
in the suburbs. If half vote, turnout in November
will be around 1.4 million, with about 600,000
from the predominantly black wards and townships.
The Republican assessor candidate is Sharon
Strobeck-Eckersall, a total unknown; she will get
15 percent of the vote, or about 200,000 votes.
That means that Berrios needs 600,000 votes to
win, or 400,000 more than he got in the primary.
putting a 'big hurt' on the Democratic
party," Berrios said of Claypool. "He's
going to bring out voters who will vote Republican
for other offices and elect a Republican as
governor and senator." That, Berrios added,
could mean that Obama will lose Illinois and,
hence, the presidency, in 2012.
who ran on a "change" platform, won Cook
County in 2008 by 1,629,024-487,736, a margin of
1,141,288 votes. To win, Berrios needs 37 percent
of those Obama voters to opt for him in November,
and he needs 350,000-plus black votes. That's why
the president, quite ludicrously, will be a factor
in the campaign for assessor: Vote for Berrios to
save Obama? Give me a break.
County needs a few independents in office. It does
not need to install the county's Democratic
chairman as assessor.
Three: "Gun control reduces crime." That
is a liberal article of faith. "Guns don't
kill people. People kill people." That has
long been the mantra of the National Rifle
Association and anti-gun control groups. The U.S.
Supreme Court, in a momentous June 27 decision,
ruled that armed self-defense is constitutionally
protected and that the right to keep and bear arms
is "necessary to our system of ordered
14th Amendment to the Constitution, which contains
the due process clause, mandates that individuals
are protected from state governments. The Supreme
Court has ruled that, under the clause, states
cannot curtail freedoms of speech, press,
religion, the right to vote or to have an
abortion, or search and seizure protections, or
the right to a jury or to avoid
self-incrimination. Now the right to keep a gun in
the home is a "fundamental right" and
cannot be banned by local government -
particularly the City of Chicago. Guns can be
regulated and registered, however.
1980, before Chicago's gun ban took effect, the
firearms-related murder rate was 18.3 per 100,000
population. In 1990, after it took effect, it was
21.6, and in 2010, it is 14.4. Banning a gun in
the home for self-defense does not reduce crime.
Four: There are few second chances in
politics. Fail once, and fail miserably, and it's
curtains. However, Scott Lee Cohen, who quit as
the Democrats' candidate for lieutenant governor,
now looms as America's next Jesse Ventura. Cohen,
a wealthy pawnbroker, spent $2.2 million and won
the primary on Feb. 2 with 25.9 percent of the
vote. He then capitulated to party pressure and
withdrew because of negative post-primary personal
revelations. But now he's back, having obtained
more than 120,000 signatures to run for governor
as an independent. Instead of being a pariah,
Cohen is now a sympathetic figure -- a victim. He
is the perfect protest vehicle.
question is: Does he siphon votes from Republican
Bill Brady, thereby electing Democratic incumbent
Pat Quinn, or does he take votes from Quinn,
thereby electing Brady? Or are both so flawed that
Cohen, despite his flaws, could win? Cohen is
viewed by some as Illinois' version of Jesse
Ventura, who won the Minnesota governorship in
2002 with 37 percent of the vote.
the 2006 election for governor, which had a
turnout of 3,487,989, the lackluster choice was
between Democrat Rod Blagojevich, who got
1,736,731 votes (49.8 percent of the total) and
Republican Judy Baar Topinka, who got 1,369,315
votes (39.3 percent). That prompted 361,336
Illinoisans (10.6 percent) to vote for the unknown
Green Party candidate, Rich Whitney, who is
running again in 2010.
got 37.8 percent of the Chicago vote in the
February primary, winning a plurality in 15 wards,
and he got 28.6 percent of the suburban vote,
winning 17 townships. He got 47.5 percent of the
vote in the largely Jewish 50th Ward.
outlook: The Republican vote is solid at 40
percent, and it could creep to the range of 43 to
45 percent. The Green Party vote, which was a
protest in 2006, will dwindle to 5 percent or
less. Cohen will get at least 10 percent of the
vote, primarily from black and Jewish voters, and
perhaps eclipse 15 percent, all at the expense of
Quinn. That leaves the governor with at best 47
percent or at worst 35 percent. Cohen will get
votes which would be cast for Quinn over Brady.
Cohen not quit, he would be blamed as the spoiler
for the Quinn-Cohen ticket. Now he's getting a
second chance. He's the spoiler in the Quinn-Brady
Five: Any moron can grow up to be Illinois'
governor. As detailed from testimony in the
corruption trial of Blagojevich, being stupid,
crude, coarse and greedy is not an impediment to
being elected to Illinois office.
taped transcripts of Blagojevich's conversations
are appalling. He is a college and law school
graduate, but he can barely compose an intelligent
sentence. His utterances are laced with profanity,
devoid of articulation, totally self-focused, and
whiny and arrogant.
Supreme Court has ruled that the feds can't
prosecute politicians for their failure to deliver
"honest services." If there were a ban
on self-serving, moronic services or idiotic
behavior, Blagojevich surely would be guilty.