Illinoisans
in general, and Chicagoans in particular, like to
think that their political environment, like each
of their sport teams, is somehow unique,
distinctive and utterly fascinating -- especially
when contrasted with that of "Cheesehead"
Wisconsin, the land of lakes, cows and little
else.
But
Wisconsinites think otherwise. They exult in the
fact that the Green Bay Packers kick the Chicago
Bears' butts with monotonous regularity, and
they're convinced that their politics are more
uproarious, entertaining and convoluted than
Illinois'.
Consider
these recent Wisconsin developments:
*
There is an enormous amount of racial polarization
in Milwaukee, where a white former congressman,
Tom Barrett, just beat the acting black mayor
after a nasty campaign, which ensued the
resignation of the white mayor. The loser's wife
stated that "racism is alive and well"
in the city.
*
The state may soon have two gay U.S.
representatives. Already, the congressional
district centered on Madison is represented by a
lesbian, and an open Milwaukee-area district may
be won by a gay man.
*
The mayor of Milwaukee resigned after settling for
$350,000 a sexual harassment suit brought by his
former staff aide and mistress, Marilyn Figueroa.
That mayor, John Norquist, was elected in 1988,
succeeding Henry Maier, who had been mayor since
1960 - an astounding 28 years.
*
The black Democratic Milwaukee County sheriff may
soon switch to the Republicans and run for
attorney general in 2006 against a Democratic
incumbent, Peg Lautenschlager, who was just
convicted of drunken driving and who has been
charged with "ethics" violations for
misuse of her state-owned car.
*
Reaganism is still flourishing, and the
Republicans control both chambers of the state
legislature. The new Democratic governor, Jim
Doyle, who ran on a platform of cutting 9,000
state jobs and saving $1 billion, has changed his
tune and is battling the Republicans on the issue
of state spending and lifting tax caps. Doyle's
2003 budget cut just 2,900 jobs, raised university
tuition, and is still in deficit.
The
former Republican governor, Tommy Thompson, is
currently secretary of Health and Human Services
in the Bush Administration. He had been
Wisconsin's chief executive from 1986 to 2000, and
he was enormously popular. Thompson initiated many
creative innovations, including welfare reform and
school vouchers, long before they entered the
national discourse.
*
Two self-funding millionaire Republican
businessmen and the 1994 Senate loser are
competing to take on a maverick Democratic U.S.
senator. One Republican has accused the incumbent,
Russ Feingold, of being "un-American."
*
And even though the open Milwaukee congressional
seat is traditionally Democratic, two noteworthy
Republicans are competing: a black conservative
former Thompson Administration staffer in
Wisconsin who became the Health and Human Services
Midwest regional director when Thompson moved to
Washington and a white attorney affiliated with
the law firm of his father, who defended serial
killer Jeffrey Dahmer.
Here's
a look at specific races:
Milwaukee:
The 2004 mayoral race, while big news in
Wisconsin, was widely ignored in Illinois. For
Chicagoans, that contest would have evoked
expressions of "been there, done that."
Marvin Pratt was a black Milwaukee alderman who
became acting mayor after Norquist resigned in
January. Sounds a lot like then-Alderman Gene
Sawyer's elevation in 1987. Pratt had two
principal opponents in the nonpartisan contest to
succeed him: Tom Barrett, a white former
congressman who lost a bid for the Democratic
nomination for governor in 2002, and county
Sheriff David Clarke, a black who was appointed to
the post by a Republican governor in March 2002.
Clarke refused to join the Democratic Party, and
he had a fund raiser in December 2003 which
featured J.C. Watts, a black former Republican
congressman from Oklahoma.
Milwaukee
has a population of 596,974, which is nearly 35
percent is black, who traditionally live on the
city's North Side. Like Chicago, the inner core of
Milwaukee, along the lake, is being redeveloped
and condominiumized, with many "empty
nest" suburban couples moving into the city.
Milwaukee has an upscale "East Side,"
which is akin to Chicago's Michigan Avenue
"Gold Coast."
The
white South Side used to be heavily Polish, along
with a large number of Germans, but, like Chicago,
the children of these ethnics have moved to the
blue-collar suburbs of West Allis, West Milwaukee,
Saint Francis, South Milwaukee and Cudahy. The
South Side is now populated in large part by aging
whites, with a mix of Hispanics. The North Side is
almost entirely black.
Pratt
led the field in the initial 2004 primary, getting
51,653 votes (38 percent), to Barrett's 44,342 (33
percent) and Clarke's 23,185 (17 percent). Six
other candidates split the remaining 12 percent.
In
the runoff, Barrett pounded Pratt for the fact
that he had been the subject of two FBI
investigations into City Hall corruption, although
he was never charged with wrongdoing; several
aldermen were indicted and convicted. Then, 2
weeks before the election, the white Milwaukee
County district attorney, Mike McCann, brought
forth a civil indictment charging Pratt with
violating state campaign expenditure laws by
allegedly not reporting campaign-related expenses
from a personal account and by allegedly making
large payments to himself from a campaign account.
The
indictment was devastating, and Pratt's response
was lame, blaming his lawyers and accountants for
the oversights. Barrett had been a congressman
from the North Side Milwaukee district for 10
years, until it was merged into one district in
2002, so he had the support of East Side and North
Side white voters, and he ran up huge margins on
the South Side. The result, in a runoff turnout of
160,854 -- up 25,000 over the primary -- was
86,493 (54 percent) for Barrett and 74,361 for
Pratt.
If
Pratt resolves his legal problems, he'll run again
for mayor in 2008. If not, some other black
candidate certainly will.
4th
U.S. House District: Like Chicago, ethnic voters
in the South Side district tend to elect their
congressman at a youthful age and keep him there
forever. Since 1948 the district has had only two
congressmen, both Polish-Americans: Clement
Zablocki (1948-82), who rose to be chairman of the
House Foreign Affairs Committee and who was a
Vietnam War hawk, and Gerald Kleczka (1982-2004),
who is retiring this year. Wisconsin's lack of
population growth cost them a U.S. House seat in
the 2000 census, and now Milwaukee has only one
congressional district, which takes in the city
and some surrounding suburbs in Milwaukee County.
The
Democratic candidates in the September primary
include Tim Carpenter, a gay state representative
from the South Side, Gwen Moore, a black state
senator from the North Side, Matt Flynn, a
corporate lawyer and former state Democratic
chairman from the East Side, and Shirley Krug, a
state representative from a racially mixed
Northwest Side district who is the current
Wisconsin House minority leader. All the
candidates are fervently liberal and outspokenly
anti-George Bush. Unlike Kleczka, who was
anti-abortion, all the Democrats are pro-choice.
With three white candidates, Moore is the early
favorite.
The
Republican primary is between Corey Hoze,
Thompson's protege from the suburb of Saint
Francis, who is black, and Gerald Boyle Jr., the
son and law partner of a prominent criminal
defense attorney. Hoze already has been endorsed
by two prominent black Democrats, former Milwaukee
school superintendent Howard Fuller and Milwaukee
Brewers president Ulice Payne. Hoze will win the
primary.
The
outlook: Hoze is well positioned for the election.
If Moore wins, white voters could opt for Hoze as
the least liberal black candidate. If Carpenter
wins, blacks could vote heavily for Hoze, even
though he is a Republican. Even so, the likelihood
of a Republican congressional win is, at best,
remote.
U.S.
Senator (2004): Feingold received a huge amount of
national publicity as the author of the McCain-Feingold
campaign reform law, which eliminated the use of
"soft money" donations. Feingold is a
conventional liberal, but he did vote, as a member
of the Judiciary Committee, to approve a number of
Bush nominees for federal judgeships. Wisconsin
likes mavericks. The state kept the quirky,
fiscally stingy Democrat William Proxmire in the
Senate from 1957 to 1988.
The
consensus is that the best chance to beat Feingold,
first elected in 1992, has already passed. In
1998, against Republican U.S. Representative Mark
Neumann, Feingold won by a narrow 37,857-vote
margin, barely topping 51 percent of the vote. In
1992 he had upset incumbent Republican Bob Kasten
by 161,063 votes, getting 53 percent of the total.
The
Republican primary features two self-funding
millionaires: auto dealer Russ Darrow and
businessman Tim Michels. Also running are Bob
Welch, a state senator who lost a 1994 U.S. Senate
race, and attorney Bob Lorge. Darrow got some
publicity, most of it negative, when he blasted
Feingold as "cowardly" and
"un-American" because he voted against
the USA Patriot Act.
The
outlook: Welch is the best candidate, but he has
the least money, and Darrow is the worst
candidate, but with the most money. Expect
Feingold to win another term.
Governor
(2006): Republicans are hoping that Thompson, age
62, will come back and run against Doyle for
governor in 2006. If not, their candidate likely
will be Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker.