For
the reader's edification, and in furtherance of
this column's exclusive and ongoing UCPT
(Understanding Chicago Politics Test), here are
some new multiple-choice questions about Cook
County government.
The
Cook County Board has passed an ordinance that
bans a dual candidacy for both board president and
for county commissioner. Historically, board
presidents Bill Erickson (1946 to 1954), John
Duffy (1955 to 1961), Seymour Simon (1961 to
1966), George Dunne (1969 to 94) and John Stroger
(1994 to 2006) held both jobs, giving them a vote
in deliberations. Current president Todd Stroger
does not.
The
ordinance, which has yet to be signed by Stroger,
means that ambitious current commissioners,
Republicans Tony Peraica and Liz Gorman and
Democrats Forrest Claypool and Larry Suffredin,
cannot run against Stroger in 2010 unless they
abandon their seats. Claypool is set to announce
his candidacy on June 30 and not seek re-election
as a commissioner.
Question
Number One: The board passed a 1 percent sales tax
rollback by a 12-3 vote (with two absences), which
Stroger vetoed. An override requires the votes of
14 of the 17 commissioners. The veto was
sustained, as four commissioners opposed the
override and two voted "present." Will
Stroger also veto the "dual run" ban?
(a)
No, because he's dumber than the proverbial box of
rocks, and he hopes the ban will dissuade Claypool
and Peraica from running in 2010.
(b)
No, because it's his personal bailout plan.
Stroger is the 8th Ward Democratic committeeman,
in the 4th County Board District, a seat held by
his father for 36 years. After John Stroger's 2006
stroke, Alderman Bill Beavers (7th) was chosen as
the replacement commissioner candidate, and Todd
Stroger was chosen as the replacement board
president nominee. Stroger understands that he
will not be nominated in a 2010 countywide race,
so he will sign the ordinance, get his ally
Beavers to retire, announce that he's running for
the 4th District seat instead of for board
president, and guarantee himself a job in 2011 and
thereafter.
(c)
Yes, because Stroger is utterly delusionary and
believes that he can retain his current job and
win Beavers' job. That would make him "King
of Kings," and utterly veto-proof. At
present, an override requires a 75 percent vote.
If "The Toddler" were both the board
president and a commissioner with a vote, an
override would require an 87.5 percent vote (14 of
16 commissioners) -- an impossibility.
(d)
Every answer to this question is making me angry
and nauseated, so I'm just going to stop reading,
pout, watch a Cubs game, and get thoroughly
inebriated.
Answer:
(b) and (d).
Question
Number Two: If Stroger signs the "dual
run" ban, how will it affect the 2010 contest
for board president?
(a)
Peraica, who got 46.3 percent of the vote as the
2006 Republican candidate against Stroger, won't
run. He was barely reelected commissioner in 2006
from his west suburban district, by a margin of
845 votes (with 50.6 percent of the vote), and he
will focus his 2010 money and energy on keeping
his job.
(b)
Suffredin, of Evanston, who got just 22.1 percent
of the vote in a failed 2008 primary bid for Cook
County state's attorney, won't give up his seat.
(c)
It doesn't matter to Claypool, who has been a
commissioner since 2002 and who got 46.5 percent
of the vote in the 2006 primary against John
Stroger. Arguably, had the elder Stroger not had a
stroke a week before the primary, Claypool would
have prevailed. It's up or out for him. If he's
not elected board president in 2010, there's no
incentive to remain a commissioner for another 4
years.
Claypool
is a longtime business associate of senior White
House advisor David Axelrod, and he could have
gotten a top staff job in the Obama
Administration. If he doesn't succeed Stroger, he
will be off to Washington.
(d)
It takes pressure off Mayor Rich Daley and the
Democratic Machine. If he were on the February
ballot, Stroger would precipitate a huge turnout
by anti-tax voters, with a definite trickle-down
effect. Every liberal, tax-hiking Democrat would
be at risk. So the "Machine" will dump
Stroger, console him with a county commissioner's
post, and unite behind the so-called
"reformer," Claypool, who was once
Daley's mayoral chief of staff.
Answer:
All of the above.
The
prospective field for board president in the
Democratic primary includes three black
candidates, Stroger, Alderman Toni Preckwinkle,
from the Hyde Park 5th Ward, and Clerk of the
Circuit Court Dorothy Brown, whose base lies among
black ministers but who fared disastrously in a
2007 Chicago mayoral bid, getting just 20 percent
of the vote, and one white candidate, Claypool.
If
Stroger doesn't retire, Brown won't run. If he
does, she surely will, but she and Preckwinkle
will fragment the black vote and get Claypool
nominated.
If
Stroger does retire, a white office holder, such
as Sheriff Tom Dart or Assessor Jim Houlihan,
could run, but they would fragment the white vote
with Claypool and get Preckwinkle nominated.
Question
Number Three: Who will be the 2010 Democratic
nominee?
(a)
Claypool. (b) Preckwinkle. (c) Stroger. (d) Brown.
(e) Dart. (f) Houlihan.
Answer:
(a). The 2010 Democratic primaries for state and
county offices will have racial overtones.
Illinois Senate president Emil Jones, who is
black, was replaced by John Cullerton, who is
white, earlier this year. If Roland Burris is
ousted from Barack Obama's former U.S. Senate seat
and Claypool replaces Todd Stroger, there will be
nary an African American, excepting Obama and
state Secretary of State Jesse White, in major
office in Illinois.
Question
Number Four: Will black voters be infuriated and
less likely to turn out in the November 2010
election? (a) yes. (b) no. Answer: (a).
Developments
are already fast and furious in the 2010 contests
for commissioner, of whom five incumbents are
black, two are Hispanic and 10 are white. Five are
Republicans and 12 are Democrats. Here's an early
look at one race:
10th
District (Lakefront and part of the Northwest
Side): Mike Quigley, a Claypool ally and a
vituperative Stroger critic, was elected to
Congress in April, in large part due to his
anti-tax reputation.
The
district encompasses 10 wards, stretching along
the Lakefront from the 43rd Ward (Lincoln Park),
at North Avenue, to the 49th Ward (Rogers Park),
including all of the 44th and 46th wards, almost
all of the 48th Ward and a sliver of the 49th
Ward; it also embraces a handful of precincts in
the 40th, 39th, 50th, 45th and 32nd wards.
When
the Democratic committeemen met in late April to
select Quigley's successor, the narrow choice was
Bridget Gainer, a 40-year-old community activist
with roots in the Southwest Side 19th Ward, where
her father, Bill, one of the founders of the South
Side Irish parade, is a close ally of Democratic
Committeeman Tom Hynes.
Quigley
backed his chief of staff, Kim Walz, and she had
support from the committeemen in the 43rd, 44th
(Quigley's base) and 49th wards, as well as from
Pat Levar (45th), who likely voted for Walz as a
favor to Quigley, since his wife, Mary Ann, had
been a deputy district director for Rod
Blagojevich and Rahm Emanuel since 1996 and he
wanted to keep her on Quigley's congressional
payroll. She has been retained.
Gainer
was supported by committeemen from the 48th, 50th,
46th, 40th and 39th wards. She won by a weighted
vote of 36,308-25,389. "If I had the support
of the 46th Ward, I would have won," Walz
said.
"(Gainer)
had policy expertise and budgetary
expertise," said 39th Ward Committeeman Randy
Barnette. But so, too, did Walz, who had been a
Quigley staffer for 8 years.
Gainer
is no interloper, having lived in the 48th Ward
since 1993. She was an organizer and a director of
Alternatives, a youth development program at Senn
High School, a Chicago budget analyst from 1997 to
1998, the director of the Chicago Park District's
north Lakefront division from 1998 to 2000
supervising contracts for landscaping, parking,
vendors, trades and Soldier Field, and since 2000
a public affairs consultant for Aon Insurance.
"I understand county government, and I
understand that we must provide a safety
net," she said.
"There's
a (voter) rage about taxes and government
incompetence," said Gainer, who is part of
the anti-Stroger bloc. "Todd is toxic. He's
the poster boy for government dysfunction."
Gainer voted to roll back the sales tax and to
override the veto.
Going
into 2010, Gainer will be well funded. Her key
ally is Carol Ronen, a former state senator and
the 48th Ward committeeman. Gainer has tight
connections with the "nonprofits,"
meaning the private foundations that serve the
disadvantaged and the disabled. She does not want
to cut the county's $3 billion budget; instead,
she only opposed raising taxes.
Walz
is now the district director of Quigley's Chicago
office. "I have no plans to either run or not
run (for board president)," she said. County
electrician Mike Hickey, Chicago Cubs vice
president Mike Lufrano, gay activist Jim Madigan
and lawyer Jay Paul Deratany, who lost for the
Board of Review in 2008 and who sought the
appointment, may run. Deratany has plenty of
money, but against anybody but Walz, Gainer will
win.