To
bastardize the title of the classic 1960s movie,
"The Nasty, the Dumb and the Lucky" is
an apt description of Democratic primary outcomes
in three area contests for seats in the Illinois
General Assembly.
In
the North Lakefront 7th Illinois Senate district,
first-term incumbent Heather Steans withstood a
withering attack on her record, her connections
and her competency by Jim Madigan, a University of
Chicago law professor who spent $120,000. "He
ran a nasty, ugly campaign, filled with slurs and
innuendo," said Carol Ronen, Steans'
predecessor.
Steans
beat Madigan by 13,977-7,595, getting 64.8 percent
of the vote.
In
the Lakeview/Ravenswood/North Center 11th Illinois
House district, being vacated by Democratic state
Representative John Fritchey, the sins of the
father doomed the son.
Attorney
Dan Farley is the son of Bruce Farley, a
spectacularly undistinguished state representative
(1973 to 1992) and state senator (1993 to 1998)
who, as Ed Kelly's protege, greedily slurped at
the public trough, perpetually holding a second
payroll job. "The Blob," as the elder
Farley was known, was finally ousted by Lisa
Madigan in 1998.
Dan
Farley, despite backing by the supposedly potent
ward organization of Alderman Gene Schulter
(47th), lost to Ann Williams by 5,662-3,927, with
2,659 votes for Ed Mullen, a social service
attorney. Farley, the early favorite, got only
32.1 percent of the vote. In the 47th Ward he
received only 43.5 percent.
In
Evanston's 18th Illinois House District, being
vacated by Democratic state Representative Julie
Hamos, gender and generation proved fortuitous for
Robyn Gabel, the only woman in the race against
four men. Gabel was supported by U.S.
Representative Jan Schakowsky (D-9) and her
Evanston "Jan/Bob Machine," run by the
congresswoman and her husband, Bob Creamer. Gabel
won with a desultory 27.1 percent of the vote.
The
four men -- Jeff Smith, Ed Moran, Eamon Kelly and
Patrick Keenan-Devlin -- amassed a combined 72.9
percent of the vote, getting 1,707, 1,613, 3,709
and 3,875 votes, respectively. Gabel had 4,066
votes, leading the field by 197 votes. Had one or
more of the four male candidates not run, the
lucky Gabel surely would have lost.
Here's
an analysis:
7th
District: Steans is the antithesis of a Chicago
career politician. A wealthy socialite and a
philanthropist, she is more comfortable inside an
opera house or corporate boardroom than a
political headquarters. Steans' father was LaSalle
Bank's chief executive officer, but Steans and her
husband, lobbyist and attorney Leo Smith, decided
to create a political action committee, which they
personally funded.
Over
the past decade the committee donated nearly $1
million to various politicians, including $200,000
to Rod Blagojevich, $100,000 to then-Senate
President Emil Jones and $30,000 to Ronen; it also
gave $150,000 to Republicans.
When
Ronen, the 48th Ward Democratic committeeman,
resigned as state senator in November of 2007 to
take a job as Blagojevich's chief of staff and
increase her pension, she anointed the unknown
Steans as her successor. For the Steans/Smith PAC,
their insider investment reaped its anticipated
reward -- and unleashed howls of protest from
district activists.
In
the 2008 primary, Steans faced Suzanne Elder, a
25-year district resident with a background in
government consulting. Her candidacy's rationale
was threefold: Steans had no record of community
involvement. Steans' appointment was tarnished and
greased. Steans "bought" the job.
But
Steans spent $184,423, to Elder's $13,497, noted
that she had a master's degree from Harvard and
relied on Ronen and other Democratic committeemen
to deliver. They did. Steans won by 21,371-12,410,
with 63.3 percent of the vote, getting a hefty
64.2 percent in the 48th Ward and doing equally
well in the 49th Ward (63.3 percent), 47th Ward
(68.9 percent), 46th Ward (58.7 percent) and 40th
Ward (60.7 percent).
In
the past 2 years Steans has emerged as a visible
and productive senator. She broke with the liberal
mold and supported charter schools, helped create
commercial composting facilities and sponsored a
bill mandating external review by the state
department of insurance for denied health claims.
"Compared to Ronen, it's been like night and
day," said one Democratic politician.
"At least she's around."
Madigan's
2010 attacks can be summarized in eight words:
Corrupt appointment. Corrupt governor. Incompetent
performance. Gay marriage. Madigan, who is gay,
tied Steans to the impeached governor and the
greedy Ronen. He blasted her for not supporting
gay marriage. He argued that Senate seats should
be earned, not bought. He belittled Steans'
legislative record.
The
voters' verdict: It's old news. Steans spent
$250,000, pounded Madigan by 4,582-2,387 in the
48th Ward, with 65.8 percent of the vote, and
increased her margin in every other ward. She has
proven herself more than just an artsy-fartsy
pretty face.
11th
District: Fritchey, the 32nd Ward Democratic
committeeman, has held this seat since 1996, when
it was vacated by Blagojevich, who ran for
Congress. The son-in-law of the brother of 36th
Ward Alderman Bill Banks, Fritchey got the seat as
part of a deal to gain Banks' support for
Blagojevich. After losing a 2009 bid for Rahm
Emanuel's congressional seat, Fritchey decided to
bail from Springfield and seek Forrest Claypool's
Cook County Board seat.
The
47th Ward had been devoid of a state legislator
since Bruce Farley was trounced 13,095-6,725 by
Lisa Madigan for senator in the 1998 primary.
Schulter wanted the seat for his ward, and he cut
a deal with Fritchey: Schulter would deliver for
Fritchey in his battle with former 32nd Ward
alderman Ted Matlak, while Fritchey, remaining
publicly neutral, would try to aid Farley in the
32nd Ward.
But
the best laid plans often go awry.
Williams,
an obscure former staffer for Lisa Madigan and a
lobbyist for a pharmaceutical company, scented an
opportunity. Her base was in the Wicker
Park-Lakeview 32nd Ward. She was a woman running
against two men, and her principal opponent was
"Son of Blob."
Campaigning
as a reformer, Williams won the 32nd Ward over
Farley by 1,926-874, getting 52.7 percent of the
vote, with 857 votes to Mullen, a margin of 1,052
votes. In the 47th Ward, where Farley needed at
least 60 percent of the vote, Williams lost
2,188-1,880, with 959 votes to Mullen, a margin of
308 votes. Williams won a plurality in every other
ward, and she triumphed by 1,735 votes.
"Blame
this on Gene's arrogance," said one area
committeeman. "He didn't consult with us. He
decided he wanted Farley, and the Farley name is
still poison." Ironically, Fritchey won the
47th Ward by 6,401-1,147 over Matlak, running
4,213 votes ahead of Farley. For Schulter, Farley
was an incredibly dumb choice.
18th
District: Hamos' bid for Congress in the 10th
District opened this seat, which was held by
Schakowsky from 1991 to 1998, prior to her
election to Congress in the 9th District. Gabel,
age 56, is of the Schakowsky-Hamos -- meaning Baby
Boomer -- generation. She is the executive
director of a health coalition, she was a staffer
for Luis Gutierrez in the 1980s when he was a
Chicago alderman, and she has a close association
with social service agencies and nonprofit groups.
Kelly
and Keenan-Devlin were the proverbial wunderkinds
in the race, representing the next generation of
Evanston liberals. Kelly, age 29, is a second-year
lawyer and has served as an intern to
Blagojevich's deputy governor, former governor
George Ryan and the chief of staff to the Illinois
Board of Education; he was endorsed by Ronen and
county Commissioner Larry Suffredin.
Keenan-Devlin,
age 25, a law student, is a former field organizer
and lobbyist at Citizen Action, and he was
endorsed by the AFL-CIO, AFSCME, SEIU and UFCW
unions.
Both
candidates ran grass roots campaigns. Both touted
themselves as representing "generational
change." Both promised to be
"independent" voices in Springfield.
Both possessed credible resumes, despite their
youth. Both had serious endorsements. Both
appealed to the same voter base. And, jointly,
they received 7,584 votes, or 50.7 percent of the
total cast. Had one not run, the other would have
won.
Smith,
a 52-year-old attorney, is a longtime liberal
activist, but he is not part of the "Jan/Bob
Machine." He was endorsed by two former
Evanston mayors and the current mayor, six former
or current Evanston aldermen, Chicago Alderman Joe
Moore (49th) and the liberal Democracy for
America. Smith ran as the "experienced"
liberal, but he got only 1,707 votes, or 11.4
percent of the total cast. He and Gabel split
their base of Baby Boomer liberals. Their combined
vote was 5,773, or 38.5 percent of the votes cast.
The
fifth candidate, former Evanston alderman Ed
Moran, ran as a pro-life conservative, and he got
1,613 votes (10.8 percent of the vote) -- proving
conclusively that 89.2 percent of the district's
Democrats are hard-core liberals.
The
implications:
First,
the "Jan/Bob Machine" ain't what it used
to be. Of the 10,963 votes cast in Evanston, Gabel
got 3,232, or 29.5 percent of the total. In the
Wilmette portion of the district, in New Trier
Township, Gabel got only 20.8 percent of the vote,
and the combined Kelly/Keenan-Devlin vote was 56.9
percent.
Second,
a new generation of politically astute young
liberals is emerging.
And
third, gender appears to be fading as a voting
criterion. Almost 60 percent of the district's
voters were women, but more than half of them
didn't vote for Gabel. Luckily, against four men,
Gabel's gender provided just enough votes to win.