After
winning the acrimonious Feb. 22 Republican primary
by just 58 votes, and after having that margin
whittled to just 22 votes after an extended
discovery recount, Maine Township Supervisor Bob
Dudycz should be hanging by the proverbial
political thread, ready to be ousted on April 5 by
an invigorated Democratic opponent.
Instead, a reinvigorated Dudycz has apparently
closed Republican wounds and gotten the support of
his erstwhile foes. And it is the candidacy of
Democrat Karen Dimond that is hanging by a thread.
The
“they divide/losers defect/we conquer”
scenario anticipated by the Democrats has failed
to materialize. Dimond and the Democrats have run
an insipid and virtually invisible campaign. And
the liberal faction of the Republican party, led
by Maine Township Committeeman Mark Thompson and
State Representative Rosemary Mulligan, has not
moved to embrace Dimond, either overtly or
covertly. “I’m reaching out to them,” said
Dimond, who admits that none have reached back.
“Voters want a change,” insisted Dimond,
echoing the mantra of Thompson, Dudycz’s primary
opponent. “Voters are tired of the bickering and
the endless politicking,” she added. Thompson
was supervisor for two terms (1993-2001), but was
ousted at the 2001 Republican caucus by Dudycz,
then a township trustee. He is the brother of
former state Senator Wally Dudycz.
Thompson was a sore loser, contending that Dudycz
and then-Committeeman Bill Darr deceived him into
thinking that he would be renominated at the 2001
caucus. Instead, they brought in 251 people (to
Thompson’s 50), and dumped him from his
$30,000-a-year job. Thompson subsequently endorsed
Democrat Mike Yesner, who went on to lose to
Dudycz 9,432-6,991.
Despite that political apostasy, Thompson scored a
comeback in 2002, ousting Darr as committeeman by
153 votes (4,505-4,352). Thereafter, the
township’s once-formidable Republican
organization was rent asunder, with Thompson
firing 22 precinct captains, including township
highway commissioner Bob Provenzano, and with
Thompson filing a federal lawsuit against Dudycz,
Darr and former Governor George Ryan alleging that
they conspired to transfer him from his state job.
The state’s civil service commission recently
upheld Thompson’s claim of wrongful treatment,
and could award him damages, even though the
federal lawsuit was dismissed. “This fighting is
costing the taxpayers money,” noted Dimond, who
claimed that the recent Republican primary “cost
the Cook County Clerk’s office $250,000 to
administer” while the Democrats’ Caucus
“cost nothing.”
As in the 2002 committeeman’s race, the 2005
primary was inspired and motivated by vengeance
and ideology. But the outcome was determined by
geography and energy. Thompson represents the more
liberal faction, which is pro-choice on abortion,
while Dudycz and Darr are more conservative on
social issues. Thompson’s backers tabbed the
Dudycz the “Sneaky Supervisor” after he
conspired with Darr to dump Thompson, and that was
a powerful issue in 2002; Dudycz dismisses
Thompson as an inept party leader.
So, as some would put it, a fight for the soul of
the party occurred on Feb. 22. An astonishing
5,674 voters came out to vote in the
Republican-only primary – and the more
conservative faction eked out a win. According to
local sources, this was the first primary for
township office in the last century. Dudycz, from
Niles, won because he had more precinct workers
and a broader geographical base. Thompson, from
Des Plaines, scored heavily in his base, but
failed to perform sufficiently well in Park Ridge.
He had only sporadic precinct coverage.
There are 137 precincts in the township, which
includes all of Des Plaines and Park Ridge, and
part of Niles, Morton Grove, Glenview and
Rosemont. According to the official returns,
Thompson topped Dudycz in Des Plaines by 307 votes
(1,577-1,270) and in Rosemont by two votes
(39-37), while Dudycz won his base in Niles by 83
votes (351-268), and carried Park Ridge by 111
(856-745) and Glenview by 173 (247-74) votes; in
Morton Grove, there was a 105-105 tie. The
discovery recount added more Des Plaines votes to
Thompson’s total. In 2002, Thompson won Des
Plaines by more than 350 votes, and lost Park
Ridge by about 150. Thompson nearly replicated his
2002 showing in 2005, but ultimately lost because
the eight Glenview precincts went 3-1 for Dudycz
– and because Dudycz had an election day
operation to get out his voters.
Despite Thompson’s loss, and despite the
uncertainty of the discovery recount, which was
not finalized until mid-March, Dimond does not
accrue any advantage. Unlike the “sneaky
dumping” of 2001, which engendered great
animosity, the 2005 outcome has engendered great
relief among Republicans. It’s over. Dudycz beat
Thompson fair-and-square, albeit narrowly. Dudycz
has promised that he won’t run against Thompson
for committeeman in 2006. Thompson called a
meeting of his organization, and they endorsed
Dudycz and the entire Republican slate; Mulligan
has also endorsed Dudycz.
Can Dimond win? In her favor is the fact that
Maine Township is trending Democratic. Al Gore won
the township by 1,533 votes in 2000, and John
Kerry upped that to 3,695 votes in 2004. By
comparison, Ronald Reagan won the township by
25,717 votes in 1984, and George Bush by 15,157 in
1988.
Also,
the Republican vote trajectory in township
elections is not on the upswing: It was 12,746 for
supervisor in 1989, 9,931 in 1993, 12,582 in 1997,
and 9,545 in 2001. But the Democrats have no
reason to be sanguine, as their trajectory is much
worse: Their vote declined from 11,651 in 1989 to
9,304 in 1993 to 7,466 in 1997 to 7,075 in 2001.
There
is a logical explanation for this development –
namely: the collapse of the local Democratic
organization. Niles Mayor Nick Blasé was
Democratic committeeman for 30 years, until the
early 1990s, when he resigned. He was replaced by
Niles Trustee Andy Przybylo, who was elected in
1994 and 1998. As mayor, Blasé had heft: He could
raise money, and could deploy city workers to man
precincts. Przybylo was not nearly so effective,
and his replacement, after he resigned in 2001,
Des Plaines Alderman Laura Murphy, has been even
less effective.
A
major battle is raging for mayor of Park Ridge,
between Howard Frimark, a Republican, and Mike
Tinaglia, a Democrat – although both are running
as an “independent.” Turnout should be high in
Park Ridge on April 5, although neither mayoral
candidate has made an endorsement in the
supervisor’s race. That doesn’t help Dimond.
In Niles, Blasé is unopposed for a twelfth term,
having first won his job in 1961; that means a low
turnout. In Des Plaines, Mayor Tony Arredia is
unopposed, but a District 62 school bond
referendum will hike turnout. “The higher the
turnout, the better for me,” said Dimond, of
Niles, who lost primary bids for Circuit Court
judge in 1994, 1996 and 1998. She currently works
for the Illinois attorney general.
According
to the Democrat, Dudycz and township government
need to be “more accessible and more
accountable.” She wants to have weekend and
evening hours, and greater dissemination of
information. She also decries the alleged increase
in township salaries, which she said has risen
from $1.6 million in 2002 to $1.795 million in
2004. She said that Republicans have engaged in
“nepotism,” hiring their kin, and that she
would “bring reform.”
Dudycz
dismisses the accusations, noting that over the
past three years he reduced the township
workforce from 58 to 54, that he cut the township
budget from $3.129 million to $3.1 million. “We
haven’t raised taxes, and we’ve provided
services,” said Dudycz. Specifically, Dudycz
touts his single-hauler garbage pickup plan in the
unincorporated areas, as well as town hall
upgrades, a website, zoning reforms, sewer
repairs, and a mandatory work-a-day-a-week program
for welfare recipients. The mantra of Dudycz and
his slate is no tax increases, and a pledge of no
future hikes.
Dudycz
recently sent out a mailer attacking Dimond for
her stewardship of school district 63, where she
has served on the board since 1997, and where she
was president from 1999 to 2001. The district, in
2000, issued $10 million in new bonds, and Dimond
was quoted as saying that the bond sale would not
result in any tax increase. By 2003, even with the
bond money, the district’s $33 million budget
had a $3 million shortfall, and a March 2004
referendum to increase school district taxes by 40
cents per $100 of assessed valuation failed. A
second referendum, in November 2004, passed, and
property taxes were increased. “We made some
hard choices,” said Dimond. Responded
Dudycz: “This is an example of gross
mismanagement. The Board could have frozen
administrative salaries or cut pensions or other
benefits.”
My
prediction: Like Dudycz, Dimond’s geographic
base is in Niles; that means Park Ridge and Des
Plaines will be battlegrounds. Dudycz has a
sizeable precinct army, consisting of township
workers and assorted volunteers. Even though
Frimark has not endorsed him, the Dudycz workers
in Park Ridge are pushing Frimark. The Tinaglia
organization is not backing Dimond. In Des
Plaines, Arredia has endorsed Dudycz, and his
organization is pitted against Murphy’s to see
who can deliver.
Turnout
on Feb. 22 was just above 5,600. The township’s
base Democratic vote is around 7,500, the
Republican about 9,500. If half of Thompson’s
voters switch to Dimond, she could win; but if
some don’t vote at all, which is especially
likely in Des Plaines, then Dudycz will squeeze
through. Expect Dudycz to win by about 450 votes.