In
these troubled economic times, everybody needs a
"stimulus" -- especially Republicans.
That could occur on April 7, as Republican mayoral
candidates look strong in suburban Des Plaines and
Morton Grove.
Here's
an analysis:
Des
Plaines: After snaring a casino license, the city
of 58,535 has a "cash cow" for the
foreseeable future, generating an annual revenue
stream of $9 million to $10 million beginning in
2012. Unlike most other American cities, Des
Plaines' finances are sound. "The budget is
$120 million, we have a reserve fund of 10
percent, there is no shortfall, and the budget is
balanced," said Alderman Marty Moylan, a
Democrat who is the frontrunner for mayor and who
has the best organized campaign.
Term
limits forced popular Mayor Tony Arredia out after
8 years, and four candidates are vying for the
part-time post, which pays $9,000 annually: Maine
Township Republican Committeeman Mark Thompson, an
attorney with the Illinois Department of
Professional Regulation and a former Maine
Township supervisor and trustee; Moylan, who has
been the 2nd Ward alderman since 2007 and who is a
business agent for International Brotherhood of
Electrical Workers Local 134; Dick Sayad, a
wealthy computer company entrepreneur and the 4th
Ward alderman
from 1999 to 2007; and Mike Lake, a retired
tool and die maker who lost two bids for 2nd Ward
alderman.
Arredia
has made no endorsement. "It's a battle of
lightweights," said one area politician.
"The guy who wins will be the guy who's least
objectionable, with the fewest enemies."
Thompson, Moylan and Sayad all have a shot.
Thompson has the most enemies, especially within
his party. Arredia detests Sayad, and Moylan
expects Arredia's support.
"I'm
the only one who has run citywide before,"
said Thompson, who was elected a supervisor in
1993 and 1997, a trustee in 1981, 1985 and 1989,
and committeeman in 2002 and 2006. He is an ally
of pro-choice state Representative Rosemary
Mulligan (R-55). Thompson was dumped in 2001 as
supervisor in a Republican caucus, and he lost a
2005 Republican primary to incumbent Bob Dudycz by
22 votes.
Thompson
won the 2002 primary for committeeman over
appointed Bill Darr by 153 votes, and he was
re-elected in 2006 by 319 votes over township road
commissioner Bob Provenzano. After a decade of
ideological warfare, the township's Republicans
are decimated and irrelevant. "There are as
many Republicans who hope (Thompson) will lose as
hope he will win," said the source, since the
conservatives believe that being mayor would boost
his grip on the party and enable him to win again
as committeeman in 2010.
"This
election is about the future of Des Plaines,"
Moylan said. "It's not about who should be
the Republican boss." Maine Township
Democratic Committeeman Laura Murphy, a
term-limited Des Plaines alderman, has made no
endorsement, but Democratic precinct captains are
working for Moylan.
There
are three issues: (1) How to handle city finances?
(2) How to spend the casino "jackpot"?
(3) How to alleviate flooding?
Sayad,
an erstwhile ally of Arredia, accuses the mayor of
"not disclosing" city expenses.
"We're in a fiscal sinkhole and don't know
it," he said. Sayad, age 66, promises to keep
Des Plaines "moving forward," to be a
"full-time mayor" and to be
"fiscally accountable." He will spend
$50,000 on his campaign, he is endorsed by former
mayor Ted Sherwood, and he claims to have more
than 100 volunteers.
Thompson,
age 56, says that water retention projects funded
by the Army Corps of Engineers and state sources
could prevent flooding. He scoffs at criticisms
that he can't handle the mayor's post. "I'd
be there evenings and weekends," he said.
"There's a full-time city manager." With
no precinct operation and less than $10,000, and
with the township Republican slate doing nothing
to help him, Thompson has real problems.
Moylan,
age 58, has bombarded voters with six slick
mailings, will spend more than $50,000, and boasts
of a "big umbrella" strategy. "I'm
targeting the minority population," he said,
including Asians and Muslims, who make up 5
percent of the town's population, Hispanics (15
percent) and Eastern Europeans (5 to 10 percent).
On
flooding, Moylan stated that "90 billion
gallons" of rainfall, as occurred in
September of 2008, would overwhelm any drainage
system, and he proposes to "eliminate
combined sewers, increase capacity, and complete
the Levy 37 and Big Bend projects." Moylan
said he would annually allocate $2 million to $3
million of casino revenue for flood control and
that he would serve full-time, as his union would
let him have flexible hours while drawing a full
salary.
My
prediction: There are 58 precincts in Des Plaines,
of which 18 have hard-to-access condominiums;
there are 38,000 registered voters in 27,000
housing units, and the anticipated turnout is
7,500. With union support, Moylan will have plenty
of election day workers. Moylan will win with
2,700 votes, to 2,300 for Sayad, 2,200 for
Thompson and 300 for Lake.
Morton
Grove:
Unlike many mayors, Democrat Rick Krier is
not deceptive, disingenuous or in denial. "I
raised taxes," he admits. "It was the
responsible thing to do."
That may be his undoing.
In
2005 Krier's Caucus Party "promised
utopia," said Republican Dan Staackmann, the
Action Party mayoral candidate. "He said he
would reduce taxes, bring in new business and end
the garbage tax. He lied." In addition,
Staackmann said, Krier used some "dirty
tricks" to win. "He opposed the Muslim
Mosque at 8500 N. Menard and blamed the (Action
Party) mayor," he said. "That was
deceitful."
Krier
beat Staackmann in the 2005 mayoral race by
2,435-1,955 (with 55 percent of the vote), and he
won three trustee seats, giving him a 4-2
majority. The Action Party swept in 2007, and now
there is a 3-3 trustee deadlock, which Krier
breaks.
The
village's 2009 budget is $51 million, an 18
percent increase since 2005, when it was $43
million; there is a current deficit of $1 million.
The village "was broke when I took
over," Krier said. "We had to fund a $1
million pension shortfall, which (former mayor)
Dan Scanlon just stopped paying, and we have TIF
obligations," he said. "Both amount to
almost $9 million." The mayor admits that he
hasn't eliminated the fee that residents pay to
Groot Industries for garbage services, but he says
he has reduced it from $200 to $112 per household.
Nor has he rescinded the 2004 sales tax on fuel
and food that was supposed to sunset. "We
need the revenue," he said.
Staackmann
slammed Krier for "raising the village's
property tax levy by 26 percent" from 2006 to
2008, "hiking 15 taxes and fees," losing
a proposed off-track betting facility to Niles,
losing $4 million in sales tax revenues when the
Abt appliance store moved to Glenview, charging
$1.5 million for private scavenger services, and
issuing $10 million in bonds for the Lehigh-Ferris
TIF District. "It's a mess," he said. As
for pensions, Staackmann said they were only 60
percent to 70 percent funded in 2005. "We can
make step payments," he said. "The
unions want it all up front. Actuarially, it need
not be fully funded."
Retorted
Krier: "We raised the (property tax) levy by
20 percent in 2006, but only by 3.5 percent in
2007 and 2.5 percent in 2008. We had to get our
fiscal house in order after 30 years of Action
Party misrule." And, he added, as a trustee
Staackmann "voted for the garbage tax and
most other fee hikes. He's part of the problem,
and electing him will not be a solution."
My
prediction: The village's population is 22,451,
with 10,000 registered voters. Turnout in 2005 was
just 4,390, and it will barely top 4,000 this
year. "People don't like change,"
confided one Staackmann strategist. "And they
definitely don't like Krier's changes."
The
2005 election was a referendum on Scanlon and the
Action Party, which Krier won by 480 votes. This
election is a referendum on Krier, and he has
alienated too many voters; he will lose by 400
votes.
Lincolnwood:
If Morton Grove dislikes change, the 12,359
Lincolnwood residents absolutely, utterly, totally
revile it. The Alliance Party (formerly the
Administration Party), run by Mayor Jerry Turry,
has dominated the village since 1931, when it was
incorporated and Henry Proesel became mayor.
That's a 78-year dynasty.
Ron
Cope, a village attorney from 1975 to 1997, is
running for trustee, and he is attacking Turry and
the three Alliance trustees, Larry Elster, Larry
Froman and Tom Heidtke. "We have one-party
control," Cope said. "We have a $30
million budget, $5 million in borrowing, a liquor
store near Proesel Park and a failed Lincoln
Avenue 'New Urban' plan, with zero lot lines and
15-foot setbacks on a street with 30,000 cars
daily." He adds: "We need more
recreation, more business development, and more
checks and balances."
Turry,
who is unopposed for a second term, counters that
the "New Urban" plan was the result of a
2-year task force and that it constitutes a
long-term "vision" for Lincolnwood.
"We need a pedestrian-friendly corridor, not
strip malls," he said. Turry said that he got
an $80,000 grant for streetscaping, began a
20-year $5.2 million water project, "kept the
budget in line," got state funding for street
lighting and a new fire truck, and made the
village more "business friendly."
My
prediction: Turry got 67 percent of the vote in
2005. In April Cope will finish a distant fourth.