In
the Bible, Matthew quotes Christ as saying in the
Sermon on the Mount, "Blessed are the meek,
for they shall inherit the earth."
In
Illinois politics, the opposite is true. The
beatitude would read, "Not blessed are
lieutenant governors, for they are too meek to
inherit, retain or gain the governorship."
The
good news for Lieutenant Governor Pat Quinn is
that he will be governor sooner rather than later.
Democratic Governor Rod Blagojevich will be
impeached and removed some time in 2009.
The
bad news is that the sooner Quinn succeeds
Blagojevich, the quicker he gets the blame for the
looming 2009 budget crisis.
The
worst news is that, historically, the post of
lieutenant governor has been a ticket to oblivion.
Of the office's 42 occupants since 1830, not a
single sitting lieutenant governor, nor any of the
seven who succeeded to governor, has been elected
governor.
Quinn
hopes to delay his succession until the summer so
legislative Democrats and the media can pin blame
for the state's projected $5 billion budget
shortfall on the "disabled" Blagojevich.
State income or sales taxes will have to be
raised, or spending and services will have to be
significantly slashed. Quinn will have to stake
out a pro-tax increase or a pro-cut position.
After
replacing Blagojevich, Quinn will enjoy a brief
"honeymoon." But can he milk it until
the February 2010 primary?
His principal Democratic rival, Attorney
General Lisa Madigan, the daughter of Illinois
House Speaker Mike Madigan, will run for governor
on an anti-tax, anti-corruption platform. If taxes
are raised, it would be Lisa Madigan's father who
compels the Illinois House to vote for them.
The
Illinois Supreme Court refused to determine that
Blagojevich is "disabled," as requested
by the attorney general. The Illinois House must
vote by a simple majority to impeach, and the
Illinois Senate must vote by a two-thirds majority
to convict and remove. That will occur, perhaps
unanimously.
Historically,
two Illinois governors have been medically
"disabled," but neither was impeached
nor removed. One was indicted, but not impeached.
There is no legal precedent that mandates
Blagojevich's removal. Here's a look at past
situations:
1860:
Illinois' first Republican governor was William
Bissell of Belleville. A former Democrat, a
Mexican War hero and a political ally of Abraham
Lincoln, Bissell was elected in 1856. He also was
unable to walk, allegedly because of syphilis
contracted in Mexico. He never entered the State
Capitol, transacting all business from his bedroom
at the Executive Mansion. By 1860 he was a
recluse, making no effort to govern, and he died
in March. No attempt was made to remove him.
Bissell's
successor was Republican John Wood of Quincy, the
lieutenant governor. But Wood's ascension was too
late, as the Republicans' convention had already
chosen Richard Yates, a former congressman, as
their candidate for governor. Yates was elected.
1872:
Republican Richard Oglesby was elected governor in
1864 as a pro-war, pro-Lincoln candidate. He
retired in 1868, but he ran and won in 1872. The
legislature named him a U.S. senator in January of
1873. His successor was Republican John Beveridge,
the lieutenant governor and a Civil War general,
who governed competently for nearly 4 years.
Beveridge sought a full term in 1876, but Shelby
Cullom, a popular Springfield congressman, was
nominated at the convention and elected by 6,798
votes.
1884:
Cullom was re-elected in 1880. The legislature
chose him to be a U.S. senator in February of
1883, and he served until 1913, a record 30 years
in Washington. Cullom's lieutenant governor, John
Hamilton of Bloomington, a protege of powerful
U.S. Senator John Logan (after whom Logan Square
is named), took over. In 1884 the Republicans,
fearful of defeat, dumped Hamilton and chose
instead former governor (1865 to 1868 and 1873)
and senator (1873 to 1878) Richard Oglesby, who
won a third non-consecutive term.
1920:
Republican Len Small swept into the governorship
on a tide of anti-Woodrow Wilson, anti-League of
Nations sentiment, winning by a record margin of
511,597 votes, with 58.9 percent of the votes
cast. Small, of Kankakee, had been Illinois
treasurer during 1905-06 and 1917-18; at the time,
state law limited the treasurer to one 2-year
term. Also, the treasurer could deposit state
funds in any state bank, pay the state "call
money" interest rates, and pocket the
difference. During his second term, Small
deposited state funds in a dormant private bank in
Kankakee, loaned the money to Chicago meat packers
at 6 percent interest, and paid the state 2
percent.
After
Small cut the budget of state Attorney General
Edward Brundage in 1921, Brundage indicted Small
for conspiracy and embezzlement. After a 1922
trial in Waukegan, Small was acquitted, and he was
re-elected in 1924. For 2 years Illinois had an
indicted governor, but no attempt was made to
remove or impeach him. And, demonstrating lack of
voter outrage, Small endorsed Oscar Carlstrom in
the 1924 Republican primary for attorney general.
He defeated Brundage in the primary and was
elected.
Small
was an ally of Chicago Republican boss
"Swede" Lundin, the brains behind the
political machine of Republican Mayor "Big
Bill" Thompson, who served from 1915 to 1923
and from 1927 to 1931. In the 1920 primary, Small
beat Lieutenant Governor John Oglesby, the son of
the former governor, backed by outgoing Republican
Governor Frank Lowden, who quit to run for
president. Lowden's candidate for lieutenant
governor, Fred Sterling of Rockford, won the
primary and was elected, serving 12 years in the
post -- a longevity record still unmatched.
Had
Small been convicted, Sterling would have become
governor, but Sterling made no effort to usurp
power or demand Small's impeachment.
1940:
Democrat Henry Horner, an obscure Jewish Chicago
probate court judge, was the hand-picked candidate
for governor in 1932 of the Chicago Democratic
Machine headed by Mayor Anton Cermak. Cermak beat
Thompson in 1931, and he was killed in the
assassination attempt on President Franklin
Roosevelt in 1933. Horner won in 1932, but he was
soon embroiled in a feud with the Chicago
Kelly-Nash Machine, run by Mayor Ed Kelly and
party boss Pat Nash. In 1936 Horner beat
machine-backed Dr. Herman Bundesen in the primary,
but Downstater John Stelle of McLeansboro, also
backed by Kelly-Nash, beat Horner's candidate for
lieutenant governor.
In
1938 Horner's candidate for U.S. senator defeated
the Kelly-Nash Machine candidate. Shortly after
the 1938 election, Horner suffered a coronary
thrombosis and was incapacitated. He governed from
his Executive Mansion bedroom, from Florida in the
winter, and later from a Winnetka mansion. He
refused to quit and allow the detested Stelle to
become governor.
Stelle
charged that Samuel Nudelman, Horner's finance
director, was running the state as part of a
"regency" and that Horner was
"disabled," and he proclaimed himself
governor. The secretary of state, a Kelly-Nash
loyalist, refused to certify Stelle in Horner's
place. In late 1939 the ailing Horner cut a deal
with the Kelly-Nash minions to back Harry Hershey,
Horner's insurance commissioner, for governor in
1940. Hershey beat Stelle in the primary but lost
to Republican Dwight Green in the election.
Horner
died in October of 1940, and Stelle became
governor for a few months. Had Horner died a year
earlier, Stelle would have been the nominee for
governor -- and he would have lost to Green.
1952:
Democrat Adlai Stevenson II was elected governor
in 1948 by 572,067 votes, with 57.1 percent of the
votes cast, and he was a cinch to win again in
1952, but he was nominated as the Democratic
presidential candidate in June of 1952. His ballot
replacement was Lieutenant Governor Sherwood Dixon
of Downstate Lee County. Dixon lost to Republican
Bill Stratton, age 38, a former state treasurer
(1943-44 and 1951-52), by 227,642 votes, while
Stevenson lost Illinois to Dwight Eisenhower by
443,407 votes. Dixon was the first sitting
lieutenant governor to run for governor.
1968:
Democrat Sam Shapiro, Illinois' second Jewish
governor, was born in Estonia, and he came to
America at age 1. He was elected Kankakee County
state's attorney in 1936 and to the Illinois House
in 1946. In 1960 he was slated for lieutenant
governor on the ticket with Otto Kerner. In
mid-1967 Kerner, after chairing a commission on
civil disorders, was nominated for the federal
Court of Appeals. Shapiro was slated to run for
governor in 1968, and he became governor in May of
1968.
Incumbency
mattered not. Shapiro lost to Republican Dick
Ogilvie by 127,794 votes, while Richard Nixon won
the state by 134,960 votes. Kerner was later
indicted for and convicted of bribery and perjury.
1972:
Democrat Paul Simon ran on the 1968 ticket with
Shapiro, and he won by 96,421 votes. In 1972 he
lost the primary to Dan Walker by 40,293 votes out
of 1,430,093 cast.
2002:
Republican Corrinne Wood lost the primary.
The
scorecard: Zero for 12. Five sitting lieutenant
governors succeeded to governor, but only one was
thereafter nominated. Three lost primaries. Two
lost elections. Two lost for U.S. senator.
Historians
will note that two recent former lieutenant
governors, Democrat Neil Hartigan (1973 to 1976)
and Republican George Ryan (1983 to 1990), ran for
governor. But they first "upgraded" and
won another statewide office, Hartigan as attorney
general in 1982 (and losing for governor in 1990)
and Ryan as secretary of state in 1990 (and
winning for governor in 1998).
For
Quinn, it's too late to "upgrade." The
state's "curse" on lieutenant governors
continues.