It's
called sucking out all the oxygen. And it's done by getting so many
nominating petition signatures so early in the circulating period that
there won't be too many eligible voters to sign for the opposition
candidates.
As
a campaign tactic, knocking a competitor off the ballot by challenging
and invalidating his or her nominating petitions is a lot cheaper than
having to defeat them. In this year's Chicago aldermanic elections,
Northwest Side Democratic ward organizations are employing an obscure
clause in the Illinois Election Code, and are seeking to politically
depressurize virtually every ward, eliminating all challengers to the
incumbent or slated candidate.
The
statute in question, as amplified by a 1984 legal ruling, allows, upon
a nominating petition challenge, the invalidation of any voter's
signature who signed for more than one candidate, with the signature
earliest in time taking precedence over the later. Proof of time is
ascertained by examining the circulator's affidavit on the face of
each petition sheet, which must set forth the date of circulation.
Using
the 45th Ward as an example, here's how this tactic works. Alderman
Pat Levar's popularity, to use a quaint expression, ain't what it used
to be. He is facing credible opposition in the Feb. 25 election from
police officer Mike Lappe and community activist Pete Conway. Other
candidates who filed are Bruce Best, George Powers and Joe Schreiner.
If both Lappe and Conway stay on the ballot, it is likely that the
combined non-Levar total vote could exceed 50 percent, thereby forcing
Levar into an April runoff, which he could lose. So, in mid-September,
just after the legal period for circulating petitions began, an army
of 45th Ward precinct captains began circulating petitions for both
Mayor Richard Daley and Levar, and they accumulated in excess of
13,000 signatures for each within 4 weeks. On Dec. 9 Levar filed 786
pages of petitions; Lappe filed 54 pages, containing roughly 950
signatures, and Conway filed 85 pages, containing roughly 1,200
signatures.
It
takes only 240 valid signatures to secure a ballot position, but the
theory of "depressurizing" goes like this: Each ward has
roughly 25,000 registered voters. Between elections, roughly 10 to 15
percent of them move away or die. New voters are always being
enrolled, but their names don't appear on poll sheets until updated
versions are issued by the Chicago Board of Election Commissioners,
usually 90 days prior to an election. So candidates must use poll
sheets from the last election during the circulation period. Another
10 to 20 percent of the registered voters either cannot be contacted
or refuse to sign anything.
So
that means Levar, with his 13,000 signatures, shrank the eligible
voter pool from which Lappe and Conway could draw signatures to about
4,000. Levar entered all his petition signatures into a database, and
he is in the process of comparing his signatures against those of his
foes. He would have to find more than 700 duplications on Lappe's
petitions and more than 900 on Conway's to have them knocked off the
ballot. If he does, he must file his objections no later than Dec. 23.
If they are subjected to a challenge, either opponent would have to
spend thousands of dollars on legal defense fees, and would spend
weeks in limbo, not knowing whether they will be on or off the ballot.
Other
Democratic ward organizations that employed the "sucking the air
out" strategy were the 38th Ward, where incumbent Tom Allen filed
394 pages of signatures with an estimated 8,500 names, the 40th Ward,
where Pat O'Connor filed 342 pages containing some 7,500 names, the
39th Ward, where Marge Laurino filed 243 pages with approximately
5,000 names, the 36th Ward, where Bill Banks filed 558 pages that
probably contained more than 12,000 names, and the 33rd Ward, where
Dick Mell filed 501 pages with something like 11,000 names. And Daley,
not surprisingly, with all the local committeemen using his petitions
as a door-opener to get signatures for their local alderman, filed
more than 100,000 signatures -- four times the 25,000 citywide
requirement.
With
filing for alderman having closed on Dec. 16, here's the early outlook
in Northwest Side wards other than the 45th:
41st
Ward: Incumbent Brian Doherty, the City Council's only Republican, was
essentially re-elected in November, when his ally, state
Representative Mike McAuliffe (R-20), fought off a challenge by
Democrat Bob Bugielski, who also was an incumbent. Bugielski was
backed by Banks, who flooded the 41st Ward with his workers. Yet
McAuliffe, whose campaign was managed by Doherty, carried the 41st
Ward easily, getting 10,188 votes to Bugielski's 6,109. That's a 62.5
percent share of the vote.
Banks,
along with state Representative Ralph Capparelli (D-15), the ward's
Democratic committeeman, intended to back John Malatesta against
Doherty, but Bugielski's pasting aborted that plan. Those who filed
against Doherty are writer Gloria Jean Sykes, city worker Mike
Marzullo, who has been campaigning for months, attacking Doherty for
failing to provide adequate city services, police officer Wayne
Dembowski and Norwood Park community activist Shari Marie Centrone.
The
outlook: Doherty won 14,182-4,822 over police officer Dan Burke in
1999. He should win just as comfortably in 2003.
38th
Ward: Allen was unopposed in 1999, but he faces police officer Chester
Hornowski this time. Allen amassed 12,021 votes in 1999, and he got
8,498 in 1995, when he had three opponents. Allen, backed by Patty Jo
Cullerton's ward organization, filed more than 8,000 petition
signatures, while Hornowski filed fewer than 800. A petition challenge
to Hornowski is certain.
The
outlook: Even if Hornowski stays on the ballot, Allen is a heavy
favorite for a third term.
36th
Ward: Banks may have gotten his clock cleaned in the 41st Ward, but
nobody messes with him in his ward. Banks, an alderman since 1983 and
chairman of the council's Zoning Committee, produced a solid, but not
quite overwhelming, 6,840-4,350 win for Bugielski in the ward over
McAuliffe, with Bugielski getting 61.1 percent of the total.
Banks
was unopposed in 1995, getting 12,012 votes, and in 1999, getting
13,534 votes. He filed petitions this year containing more than 12,000
names; his lone opponent, David Tirado, filed 26 pages, containing
more than 450 names.
The
outlook: Expect Tirado to be challenged, and expect Banks to run
unopposed in February.
47th
Ward: Label this "Kelly versus Schulter, Round Two." Gene
Schulter ran against Ed Kelly for ward Democratic committeeman in
2000, losing by 155 votes. Kelly has been the ward's committeeman
since 1964, and he plucked Schulter from obscurity to make him
alderman in 1975. Kelly calls Schulter an ingrate, plus a lot of
four-letter words. Kelly is backing attorney Jack Lydon against
Schulter for alderman, and Lydon filed just under 3,000 signatures, to
Schulter's 12,000. Schulter won 7,677-1,684 in 1995, and he was
unopposed in 1999, getting 9,374 votes.
The
outlook: Expect Lydon to stay on the ballot, but the fact that
Schulter was able to obtain so many signatures means that either his
organization is much stronger than Kelly's or that the mayor's workers
did the canvassing. Schulter should win his eighth term.
50th
Ward: 29-year incumbent Berny Stone pondered retirement, but he
decided to seek a ninth term in 2003. Stone got 5,676 votes (56.9
percent) in 1995, beating two foes, and he was unopposed in 1999,
getting 7,445 votes. His 2003 opponents are Tom Morris, a city worker,
and John Salmassi.
The
outlook: Stone's West Rogers Park ward has undergone huge demographic
shifts in the last decade, with immigrant influxes of Indians,
Pakistanis and Russians. The Jewish vote, Stone's longtime base, has
dwindled, as has the pool of eligible voters. But Stone, a close ally
of the mayor, should be able to win again.
Last-day
filers against Laurino were Robert Klich, a retired police officer,
and Dennis Patrick Healy. Last-day filers against O'Connor were
Roosevelt Akins and Rafael Chagin. The incumbent is overwhelmingly
favored in each race.