Unlike
the seasons, which terminate on schedule,
political cycles seem to progress without
interruption. As the 2004 political year ended on
Nov. 2, the 2005 -- and 2006, and even 2007 --
political cycles began on Nov. 3.
Here's
a synopsis of noteworthy political developments:
42nd
Ward: Please save Burt for me.
The
ward's Republican committeeman, Rich Gordon, ran a
strong aldermanic campaign against longtime
incumbent Burt Natarus in 2003, losing 5,540-4,378
and getting 44.2 percent of the vote. Gordon is
primed to run again in 2007. Since 2003 there have
been two notable occurrences:
First,
Natarus, who has been an alderman since 1971,
finally emerged from George Dunne's shadow. Dunne,
who was the Cook County Board president from 1968
to 1990, retired as ward Democratic committeeman
in 2004, and Natarus, eager to get control of the
ward's political machinery, ran for the job. He
was opposed by Ken Gillis, a former county judge,
and he won 4,692-3,525, getting 57.1 percent of
the vote. That was a solid but not spectacular
victory for a man who had been alderman for 33
years and who was backed by Dunne's political
organization. "There's a lot of fatigue (with
Natarus) in this ward," Gordon said.
And
second, the June 2004 conviction of Michael Segal,
the owner of Near North Insurance, on 26 counts of
racketeering, mail fraud and embezzlement will be
an issue in 2007. Segal stole about $35 million
from the firm's customer accounts. Dunne founded
the company and sold it to Segal. During Segal's
trial, he claimed that he had made $125,000 in
loans to Natarus. Natarus vociferously denied that
allegation, saying that the money was paid to him
as legal fees for work done from 1975 to 1991.
A
federal grand jury has since subpoenaed various
work and tax documents from Natarus.
Rumors
abound that Natarus, age 71, will resign as
alderman in the next year so as to allow Mayor
Rich Daley to appoint a successor. Absent an
indictment, that won't happen. And that makes
Gordon ecstatic. Without Natarus in the 2007
aldermanic race, Gordon would face a horde of
opponents, and a Daley-backed "new face"
Democrat likely would win the seat. But if it's a
one-on-one race between Gordon and Natarus, Gordon
is convinced that "Natarus fatigue" will
make him Chicago's second Republican alderman.
Cicero:
The new boss is the same old boss.
Former
Cicero town president Betty Loren-Maltese is in
the slammer, and Ramiro Gonzalez, a Mexican-born
immigrant, now has her job. But Ed Vrdolyak, the
former alderman of Chicago's 10th Ward, remains
Cicero's undisputed political boss. Vrdolyak's law
firm is the Cicero attorney, and the firm billed
the town for $1.19 million in legal fees from 1993
to 2003. Vrdolyak and Cicero Town Supervisor Joe
Virruso picked Gonzalez to replace Loren-Maltese
after her federal conviction on corruption
charges.
In
a brutal 2003 campaign for the remainder of her
4-year term, Gonzalez, running as a Republican,
prevailed over Democrat Joseph Mario Moreno, a
Cook County commissioner who in 2000 moved from
Chicago to Cicero to run. Cicero is now almost 75
percent Hispanic, primarily Mexican-American, but
among eligible voters, whites are only a slight
minority. In 2001 Loren-Maltese got 9,492 votes
(59.5 percent) to Moreno's 6,444. In 2003, against
Gonzalez, who had been elected a trustee in 2001,
Moreno got 5,382 votes (39.6 percent) to
Gonzalez's 8,198.
Ever
the itinerant politician, and astutely concluding
that a Hispanic Democrat cannot beat a Hispanic
Republican in Cicero, Moreno has moved out of
Cicero and is rumored to be contemplating a bid
for Cook County Board president in 2006. For 2005,
the likely candidates against Gonzalez are Larry
Dominick, a former member of the Republican
organization who would challenge Gonzalez in the
primary, and Luis deCrenzio, a Cicero construction
company owner who would run as a Democrat.
Cicero
has an annual budget of $50 million and a work
force of 650. The knock on Gonzalez is that he has
been firing whites and hiring Hispanics -- and
that he has been hiring a lot of family members.
But in a majority-Hispanic town, that makes him a
hero, not a villain. The "Vrdolyak-Virruso
Machine" will crank out another huge vote for
Gonzalez in 2005, among both whites and Hispanics,
and he will win with close to 70 percent of the
vote.
Harwood
Heights: The "Gang of Four" no more?
Since
the 2003 election, the four village trustees --
dubbed the "Gang of Four" -- have
gridlocked Harwood Heights' government and have
rendered Mayor Norb Pabich impotent. Trustee Marge
Fuller and her three allies, Mark Dobrzycki,
George Alex and Mary Duffy, stripped the mayor of
hiring powers, blocked his nominee for police
chief, and refused to provide a second so that
Pabich could name a trustee to a vacant seat.
Fuller has ambitions to run for the General
Assembly, and her first step toward that goal is
to beat Pabich for mayor in 2005.
Pabich
won a four-candidate race in 2001 by just 70
votes, getting 599 votes out of 1,924 cast. In
2003 Fuller led the field for three at-large
trustee spots, getting 931 votes, to 875 for
Dobrzycki and 819 for Alex, with the three pro-Pabich
trustees finishing with 786, 747 and 727.
Fuller
is a polarizing figure, but she ranks as the early
favorite in the mayoral race. She is an avowed
Democrat, and she was active in the
Capparelli-McAuliffe race in the 20th Illinois
House District; Pabich, an independent when
elected, endorsed Republican McAuliffe, and he
will run in 2005 with Republican backing. His
slate will be called the Unity Party, and it will
include Trustee Arlene Jezierny, village deputy
clerk Cathy Van Gieson and zoning chairwoman Pat
Christl. The Fuller slate has yet to be formed.
33rd
Ward: The Mell-man goeth?
Alderman
Dick Mell, the father-in-law of Governor Rod
Blagojevich, made many promises to get his protege
into the Statehouse -- the chief of which was that
there would be plenty of state patronage jobs for
local Democrats. Those jobs have never
materialized, so Mell gets plenty of grief from
his fellow committeemen and aldermen. There were
rumors that Mell, age 65, who has suffered serious
health problems in recent years, would resign in
mid-term in order to enable Daley to appoint Chuck
LoManto, his chief of staff, as his successor.
But
Mell apparently has decided to stick around to
help "The Kid" (Blagojevich) in 2006,
especially should he face a Democratic primary
challenge. So LoManto might not become alderman
until some time in mid-2006, if then. And it's
entirely possible that Mell, who has been an
alderman since 1975, just to protect his power
base, could run for a ninth term in 2007 and
resign thereafter.
32nd
Ward: The Rostenkowski Residue.
John
Fritchey is smart, articulate, ambitious and well
connected, and he won Blagojevich's Illinois House
seat in 1996. He also lives in Wicker Park in the
upscale 32nd Ward, which has been politically
controlled by Dan Rostenkowski, his father and his
successors, since 1936. The current Democratic
committeeman, Terry Gabinski, was the alderman
from 1969 to 1999, when he resigned, and his chief
of staff, Ted Matlak, was named by Daley as his
successor. Gabinski was set to retire in 2004 and
hand off his party post to Matlak, but Fritchey,
who has close ties to Mell and who is the
son-in-law of mega-clout lawyer Sam Banks, the
brother of Alderman Bill Banks (36th), announced
for committeeman.
Fearing
that Fritchey could beat Matlak, Gabinski reversed
himself and ran for re-election, and both Matlak
and Fritchey folded their campaigns.
Since
then, Fritchey has continued building his own
political organization in the ward, which is
rapidly filling with upscale professionals as
gentrification continues. Fritchey wants to run
for city clerk in 2007, but if Daley doesn't back
him against incumbent Jim Laski, he may opt for
Plan B and run against Matlak for alderman.
Governor:
Anti-Blagojevich Democrats, both in and out of the
closet, want to recruit a primary opponent. At
this early day, former Chicago Public Schools
chief executive officer Paul Vallas, currently the
Philadelphia education chief, is mulling a second
bid for governor. He lost the 2002 primary to
Blagojevich by just 25,469 votes, and if he runs
in 2006, he could be formidable.
Park
Ridge: Interim Mayor Mike MaRous will not run for
a full term in 2005. Already in the field are
Aldermen Mike Tinaglia and Howard Frimark.
Tinaglia is backed by the local Democratic
organization, and Frimark by the Republicans. A
Tinaglia win would be a political earthquake;
although Park Ridge elections supposedly are
nonpartisan, a Democrat has never been elected
mayor since the city was incorporated.
Maine
Township: Incumbent Supervisor Bob Dudycz will be
opposed in 2005 by Republican Township
Committeeman Mark Thompson, whom Dudycz beat in
the 2001 Republican caucus. If Democrats field a
credible candidate and two Republicans split their
vote, a Democrat could win the supervisor's job.