Absence
makes the heart grow fonder, and the absence of a
Democratic presence in the Far Northwest Side 41st
Ward sets Republican hearts aflutter and aglow.
Not
only did state Representative Mike McAuliffe
(R-20), the 41st Ward Republican committeeman,
sweep the ward with 66.5 percent of the vote in
his re-election race, other Republicans did
surprisingly well despite the 2008 Democratic
trend. Tony Peraica got 47.8 percent of the vote
in the contest for state's attorney, and John
McCain got 44.7 percent -- his best showing in
Chicago.
Barack
Obama got more than two-thirds of the vote in
neighboring wards, as did Anita Alvarez, the new
Democratic state's attorney, but that was only
slightly better than John Kerry's 2004 showing.
(See adjoining vote chart.)
"You
can't beat the Republicans if you don't try, and
in the 41st Ward, Democrats didn't try," said
Northwest Side Democratic Organization chairman
Frank Coconate.
"There
was no election day activity," added Ralph
Capparelli, who was the ward's Democratic
committeeman from 1992 to 2008 and a state
representative from 1971 until he lost to
McAuliffe in 2004. "There was no sample
ballot. There was no precinct operation. The
Democratic presence in the ward has
evaporated."
Both
Coconate and Capparelli ran for ward Democratic
committeeman in the 2008 primary, losing to Mary
O'Connor. But their collective lament is not just
sour grapes. O'Connor confirms it. "Our
(election) focus was on helping Aurora Austriaco,"
O'Connor said. Austriaco was the Democratic
candidate for state representative in the 65th
District, which includes Park Ridge, Des Plaines
and six precincts in the northwest corner of the
41st Ward.
"We
did phone banking for her," O'Connor said.
"We worked our ward's precincts for her and
sent other community liaison workers (formerly
known as precinct captains) into Park Ridge to
help." Austriaco won those six precincts
1,343-936, with 58.9 percent of the vote, over
incumbent Republican Rosemary Mulligan, as did
state Senator Dan Kotowski (D-33), by 1,606-707
(with 69.6 percent of the vote), over Republican
Mike Sweeney.
"What
about the other 51 precincts in the ward?"
sniffed Coconate. "She's the Democratic
committeeman. It's her job to work precincts in
the ward, not to send her people outside the
ward."
O'Connor,
who got 5,747 votes in February, (45.5 percent of
the vote), to 4,383 for Capparelli, 1,541 for
Coconate and 945 for Patricia Mulligan, admits to
having "about 25 community liaison"
workers, and she said she deployed them
"where they could do the most good."
She acknowledges that she did nothing to
aid Mike Marzullo, McAuliffe's Democratic foe,
saying that McAuliffe "has high visibility,
walks a lot of precincts . . . He's tough to
beat."
"I'm
encouraged by the increased Democratic vote,"
O'Connor said. Obama beat McCain in the ward by
15,096-11,858, getting 55.3 percent of the vote.
In 2004 John Kerry beat George Bush by
14,625-13,017 (52.9 percent). Obama got 477 more
votes than Kerry, while McCain got 1,159 fewer
votes that Bush. Alvarez beat Peraica by
13,395-10,540, with 52.2 percent of the vote.
You
are right, Madame Committeeman, but the 2.4
percent spike in the 41st Ward Democratic
presidential vote fell short of the Obama uptick
in adjacent wards, where there was a 3 percent to
5 percent "surge" in the Democratic
presidential vote.
In
the 45th Ward, Alderman and Committeeman Pat
Levar's precinct captains pushed only state
Representative Joe Lyons (D-19), ignoring Obama
and Alvarez. Obama nevertheless won by
15,382-7,227, with 66.9 percent of the vote,
better than Kerry's 13,790-8,344 (62.3 percent)
win over Bush. Obama got 1,592 more votes than
Kerry, and McCain got 1,117 fewer votes than Bush.
Alvarez beat Peraica with 60.5 percent of the
vote.
In
the 38th Ward, hard feelings about Alderman Tom
Allen's narrow loss to Alvarez in the February
primary smoldered, and precinct captains ignored
Obama and Alvarez. Obama still won by 13,552-5,123
(with 71.5 percent of the vote), better than
Kerry's 11,979-6,436 (68.7 percent). Obama got
1,573 more votes than Kerry, and McCain got 1,313
fewer votes than Bush. Alvarez got 64.4 percent of
the vote.
In
the 39th Ward, Marge Laurino is the alderman and
her husband, Randy Barnette, is the Democratic
committeeman. Precinct captains pushed both Obama
and state Representative John D'Amico (D-15).
Obama won by 13,040-4,679 (with 72.5 percent of
the vote), better than Kerry's 11,825-5,748 (67.2
percent). Obama got 1,215 more votes than Kerry,
and McCain got 1,069 fewer votes than Bush.
In
the 40th Ward, controlled by Alderman and
Committeeman Pat O'Connor, Obama won a huge 82
percent of the vote, beating McCain by
15,764-3,201. Kerry won by 13,998-4,034 (with 77.6
percent of the vote), Obama got 1,776 more votes
than Kerry, and McCain got 833 fewer votes than
Bush.
In
the 36th Ward, the Democratic organization run by
Alderman and Committeeman Bill Banks and state
Senator Jim DeLeo (D-10) has an unofficial
"nonaggression pact" with the
organization of McAuliffe, 41st Ward Alderman
Brian Doherty and county Commissioner (and Elmwood
Park Mayor) Pete Silvestri. The deal is this: The
Banks/DeLeo organization does not work against
McAuliffe, Doherty or Silvestri, and the
Republicans don't try to beat DeLeo or establish a
presence in the 36th Ward.
In
this year's 20th District race, McAuliffe won the
36th Ward over Marzullo by 6,039-5,968, getting
50.3 percent of the vote.
Obama
won the ward by 14,195-6,379 (with 68.2 percent of
the vote), not that much better than Kerry's
13,277-7,652 (63.4 percent) win. Obama got 918
more votes than Kerry, and McCain got 1,273 fewer
votes than Bush. Alvarez got 65.6 percent of the
vote.
Thirty-five
of the 36th Ward's 55 precincts are in McAuliffe's
Illinois House district. In 2002, when incumbent
Democrat Bob Bugielski, a member of Banks'
organization, was remapped into McAuliffe's
district, Bugielski carried the 36th Ward by 2,490
votes (with 61.1 percent of the vote), but
McAuliffe beat him districtwide by 18,906-16,323
(53.7 percent).
In
2004, when Capparelli chose to run against
McAuliffe, Banks' ward went for McAuliffe by 1,572
votes, and McAuliffe won districtwide by
25,022-17,249 (getting 59.2 percent of the vote).
Capparelli and Banks have been antagonistic ever
since, and Capparelli recruited Marzullo to run
against McAuliffe.
On
Nov. 4 Banks' ward went for McAuliffe by 71 votes,
while McCain lost by 7,816 votes and Peraica lost
by 7,127 votes. McAuliffe said that he won the
ward because Banks' organization "ignored
Marzullo." McAuliffe won districtwide by
7,577 votes (getting 59.4 percent of the vote),
and roughly 30 percent of the district vote came
from the 36th Ward.
A
total of 39,951 votes were cast in the election.
Ninety-five of the 20th District's 122 precincts
are in Chicago and 27 are in the suburbs
(Norridge, Harwood Heights and Niles). McAuliffe
won the 41st Ward by 12,521-6,301 (with 66.5
percent of the vote), a margin of 6,220 votes. In
2004, against Capparelli, McAuliffe won the ward
by 5,181 votes (with 63.3 percent of the vote),
and in 2002, against Bugielski, he won the ward by
4,079 votes (62.5 percent).
In
a bad year for Republicans, McAuliffe performed
better than in the past, augmenting his majority
in the 41st Ward, which casts more than 45 percent
of the vote in the district -- 18,822 out of
39,951 in this election.
McAuliffe
won the 38th Ward 360-339, and Marzullo won the
29th Ward 35-11. McAuliffe topped Marzullo in the
suburbs by 4,833-3,544 (with 57.7 percent of the
vote). Obama won Norridge and Harwood Heights
5,784-4,442 (getting 55.8 percent of the vote),
with Marzullo running almost 2,000 votes behind
him.
The
bottom line: Marzullo was an inept and woefully
underfunded candidate. His premise was that, in a
Democratic year, Northwest Side voters would
reject every Republican. He endorsed Obama, called
McAuliffe a "closet Republican," ripped
him for voting to raise taxes, and blamed the
Republicans for "ruining" the economy.
It didn't work. "People know and respect the
McAuliffe name," McAuliffe said.
Marzullo
had no ground game, no precinct or election day
workers, and no visible support from O'Connor,
Banks or Norwood Park Township Democratic
Committeeman Bob Martwick.
But
nothing lasts forever. DeLeo's term expires in
2010, and rumors are rife that he may not seek
re-election. If he does not, the 36th Ward will
field a candidate. DeLeo has been a senator since
1992. O'Connor said she will consider running if
DeLeo retires, and embattled Harwood Heights Mayor
Peggy Fuller may retire in 2009 and focus on a
2010 primary race against DeLeo or a bid for
county commissioner against Silvestri.
This
much is certain:
First,
as long as there is no viable Democratic
organization in the 41st Ward, McAuliffe will keep
winning by 2-1 margins.
Second,
as long as McAuliffe gets close to 67 percent of
the vote in the 41st Ward, any Democratic opponent
has to get at least 65 percent of the vote in
Norwood Park Township and the 36th Ward to beat
him for state representative.
Neither
will happen any time soon.