There's
a whole lot of bleaching, tinting, peeling,
stripping, scrubbing and packing going on in City
Hall, and it's not happening in the basement
hair-styling salon.
And,
after Dec. 1, there won't be a whole lot of lovin'
on the second floor, when what is cryptically
known as the "Aldermanic Job Security
Act" is unveiled. None of the city's 50
aldermen relishes the prospect of unemployment,
but the soon-to-be-unveiled remap of Chicago's
wards will put up to a dozen aldermen in the
proverbial breadline. "There'll be a lot of
unhappiness," said one City Council Rules
Committee staffer.
Already,
the yelling, yapping and yelping has commenced.
The latest roar was from newly elected Alderman
Nick Sposato (36th). The City Council Black
Caucus, made up of 19 black aldermen in 20
black-majority wards, is adamant that there be no
diminution of their number despite the fact that
the 2010 census showed the city's black population
down by 17 percent since 2000. That's 181,453
fewer black residents, which should mean three
fewer black-majority wards.
Alderman
Howard Brookins (21st), the caucus chairman, said
that the federal Civil Rights Act and the Voting
Rights Act mandate "non-retrogression."
"There cannot be any fewer black-majority
wards than we have now," Brookins said.
Three
black aldermen will not go quietly into the night.
The caucus map cleverly tints, packs and scrubs,
creating 20 wards with at least a 50 percent black
voting population. On the South Side, the caucus
designed some wards with a Hispanic population as
high as 45 percent. "They (Hispanics) don't
vote," said one black politician. "We
can win them."
It
is a rule of thumb that a Hispanic
"super-majority" ward population of 66
percent is required to elect a Hispanic alderman.
"We created 19 black and 13 Hispanic
wards," stressed Brookins. "We intend to
go to court if necessary."
On
the North Side, to protect Alderman Deborah Graham
(29th), whose ward has an exploding Hispanic
population, the caucus map packed the Hispanics
from the 29th Ward and the adjacent 37th Ward,
represented by Alderman Emma Mitts, into a new
ward. To accomplish that convoluted goal, Graham's
ward, which extends along Austin Avenue from
Roosevelt Road to North Avenue, was awarded most
of Galewood in the 36th Ward, including Sposato's
home precinct. Interestingly, the Galewood
precinct where former alderman Bill Banks resides,
as well as that of new Democratic Committeeman
Larry Andolino, were kept in a new 36th Ward,
which has to shed 7,000 residents.
"That
will never happen," Sposato promised. "Galewood
will not be divided. The (caucus) map will not
pass."
Since
Sposato defeated Banks' hand-picked successor as
alderman, John Rice, and since Sposato is running
against Banks' hand-picked successor as Democratic
committeeman, Andolino, it is presumed that the
caucus is counting on white aldermen, who have
residual ties to Banks, to save Graham by sticking
it to Sposato. Brookins said that that's not true.
"Our map only focused on black wards,"
he said. "The other wards are not our
concern."
Since
the city's population shrank by 208,734 in the
past decade, the size of each ward contracted from
an average of 58,000 to 54,000. Roughly 35 percent
of the city's population of 2,695,598 are white
(944,000), 32 percent are black (890,000) and 32
percent are Hispanic (863,000). That should equate
to 17 white aldermen, 16 or 17 black aldermen and
16 Hispanic aldermen. The current breakdown is
23/19/8. Obviously, Hispanics want more
Hispanic-majority wards, at the expense of white
aldermen; four powerful white aldermen, Ed Burke
(14th), Dick Mell (33rd), Marty Quinn (13th) and
John Pope (10th), have Hispanic majorities in
their wards, but none is inclined to quit, nor
will any be defeated any time soon.
The
south end of the Northwest Side 38th Ward also has
a large Hispanic concentration, and it could be
the hub of a new Hispanic ward, encompassing
Hispanics now in the 29th and 37th wards. That
means that 38th Ward Alderman Tim Cullerton would
be in the 45th Ward.
On
the South Side, Hispanic population growth has
spread into the black-majority 15th and 18th
wards. The caucus map tinkers with area ward
boundaries, increasing the Hispanic population in
the 18th Ward, now held by Alderman Lona Lane, to
45 percent. The population is sufficient to
sustain only 12 of the 14 black-majority wards
south of the Loop to the city limits. The wards
with the largest population growth are the North
Loop 42nd and the South Loop 2nd, both with white
aldermen.
Half
of the Far Southwest Side 19th Ward is
cannibalized and attached to the adjacent black
18th, 21st and 34th wards, leaving the white half
hanging. Since white committeemen in the 11th
(John Daley), 19th (Matt O'Shea), 13th (Mike
Madigan) and 23rd (Bill Lipinski) wards will not
let their domains be cannibalized, at least two
black South Siders and one black West Sider will
be shown the door.
The
City Council Rules Committee, chaired by Mell, is
working up a map which will protect almost all
white aldermen and create a few new Hispanic
wards. Under council requirements, 26 votes are
needed for passage. If that majority is secured,
but fewer than 40 votes, a referendum will be
placed on the ballot next March, allowing voters
to accept or reject it. Mell, the master
manipulator, will have all the white and Hispanic
aldermen on board, which guarantees 31 votes.
Expect a hue and cry of "racism" in the
black community.
An
interesting subtext to the remap squabble is ward
Democratic committeeman races, which will be on
the March 20, 2012, primary ballot. As city and
county patronage has evaporated, and as media ads
and direct mail have replaced precinct captains,
the ward post has become inconsequential and
largely ceremonial, but alderman covet the
committeeman's job in order to preempt future
opposition. In 2011 longtime committeemen and
aldermen in the 45th Ward (Pat Levar), 36th Ward
(Banks) and 47th Ward (Gene Schulter) had
insufficient heft to elect their aldermanic
successors.
The
filing period for committeeman is Nov. 28 to Dec.
5, and 500 to 800 signatures are required to get
on the ballot. The problem is that filing will
occur before the new ward map is unveiled and
before it is approved (if at all). The legal
question: Will the 2010 election be held in the
existing wards, where aldermen were elected in
2011 for the term through 2015, or in the new
wards, where some candidates may no longer live?
Some
election law experts expect that a federal lawsuit
will be filed and that the committeeman elections
will be delayed until November.
Here's
an early look at developing committeeman contests:
32nd
Ward: In a ward filled with upscale, contrarian
independents, being a committeeman is almost
ghastly. Nevertheless, incumbent John Fritchey,
who is a county commissioner, is being challenged
by Alderman Scott Waguespack, whom he supported in
2007 but not in 2011, when he supposedly was
neutral. "It's a grudge match," said one
ward activist. "They both detest each
other."
Waguespack,
who was reelected in 2011, got 8,845 votes (65.8
percent of the total cast) in a turnout of 13,437.
He is better known than Fritchey, who was a state
representative for 12 years. "He got a free
pass in 2011," claimed one Fritchey
supporter. "It was a referendum on his ward
record." In 2012, the source predicted,
turnout will be under 7,000 -- "mostly
committed Democrats who understand that Waguespack
is only running to serve himself, not the
party."
A
cardinal rule: Never run for a less significant or
insignificant office if you're not assured of
winning. Waguespack is testing that rule.
36th
Ward: Having trounced the Banks machine, there is
little doubt that Sposato will do likewise to
Andolino. Turnout in the 2011 runoff was 10,074,
and Sposato got 5,651 votes (56.1 percent of the
total). Much of the Sposato vote was anti-Banks
and anti-Rice. Banks is gone, along with his money
and manpower. Andolino fervently hopes that Rice's
4,423 votes are the enduring Banks machine base.
The
March turnout will be under 7,000. Sposato, who's
still on his political honeymoon, can't lose.
1st
Ward: Politicians must pick their fights
carefully. Alderman Proco Joe Moreno, who was
appointed to replace Manny Flores in 2010, has
been a veritable Energizer Bunny. He was elected
to a full term in 2011 with 74 percent of the
vote. The incumbent Democratic committeeman is
Jesse Juarez, an ally of Flores and a protege of
Joe Berrios, the county Democratic chairman and
assessor and the 31st Ward committeeman.
Moreno
is challenging Juarez. Will Berrios come to his
rescue? Big Joe could certainly flood the ward
with precinct workers and inundate the mailboxes
with propaganda, but Juarez is not in the same
league as Moreno, and a sizable Moreno win would
transform him in a celebrity "giant
killer," enhancing his prospects for a
congressional seat. Advice to Berrios: Stay out.
47th
Ward: Better to fade away than be carried away.
Schulter, the ward's 36-year alderman, botched his
2011 succession, and Ameya Pawar, a 31-year-old
unknown, was elected. If Schulter runs in 2012,
Pawar will field an opponent. A truce emerged:
Longtime lobbyist Paul Rosenfeld, a
"neutral" technician, will be the
committeeman, and Schulter will fade away.