Where's
Zorro when you need him?
Like
latter-day Spanish conquistadors, two white
Chicago politicians, Aldermen Dick Mell (33rd) and
Ed Burke (14th), have subjugated wide swaths of
Hispanic-majority territory and dictate occupants
of political office. The disgraced Hispanic
Democratic Organization may be history, but
slumbering Hispanic voters have shown little
inclination to shuck the gringos' yoke.
However,
inklings of rebellion have surfaced, with two
"anti-gringo" candidates running in the
2010 Democratic primary.
In
the past, Hispanics have been fractured and
fractious. South Side Mexican Americans jockeyed
with North Side Puerto Ricans for dominance.
Central and South American Hispanics and Cubans
sought influence. Conservatives, primarily
Mexicans, battled liberals, primarily Puerto
Ricans. And the HDO, Mayor Rich Daley's creation,
provided the manpower to elect pro-Daley Hispanic
stooges.
"It's
a new era," said attorney Frank Avila, a
Hispanic activist who contends that ethnic rivalry
will be superseded by Hispanic outrage. "We
want our share of the pie. We will stop fighting
each other. 2010 will be the year of Hispanic
independents and independence."
Here's
a look at developing 2010 contests:
8th
County Board District: Roberto Maldonado, the
Democratic committeeman in the heavily Puerto
Rican North Side 26th Ward, was first elected
county commissioner in 1994. He was a loyal cog in
the Daley/HDO machine. When Alderman Billy Ocasio
(26th) took a state job, Maldonado exerted his
clout to get Daley to choose him for alderman,
which is deemed an upgrade. He expected that his
protege, Xavier Nogueras, would get his county
job.
But
Mell, known derisively among Hispanics as
"Old Gringo," had other ideas. Despite
his embarrassment at being the facilitator of his
son-in-law Rod Blagojevich's ascent to the
Illinois governorship, the wily Mell is still in
the game.
After
Maldonado's appointment in July, the Democratic
committeemen from the 26th, 31st, 33rd, 35th, 27th
and 1st wards met to pick his successor. Maldonado
thought he had sufficient weighted votes, plus the
proxy from Secretary of State Jesse White, the
27th Ward committeeman, but Mell showed up with a
new proxy from White, and his candidate, Ed Reyes,
got the backing of committeemen Rey Colon (35th),
Joe Berrios (31st), Manny Flores (1st). Can you
smell a double cross?
Reyes
won, and Maldonado was apoplectic, as well he
should be. Mell tried to defeat Colon in 2003 and
2007 for alderman, sending hundreds of workers
into his ward. Yet Colon sided with Mell against
Maldonado. Can you smell sellout?
Maldonado
is backing Nogueras in the Feb. 2 primary against
Reyes, who has the support of Mell. Also running
are Ariel Rosa and Omar Lopez.
My
prediction: In the Hispanic community, Maldonado
looks like a eunuch. Reyes is the slight
favorite. If Nogueras fails to defeat Reyes,
expect "Old Gringo" to send his precinct
workers into the 26th Ward to oust Maldonado in
2011.
Remember
this: In 2006 Daley chose state Senator Miguel del
Valle to replace convicted City Clerk Jim Laski.
Del Valle's successor was Willie Delgado, a state
representative. Luis Arroyo, a member of Mell's
organization, took Delgado's job. In 2008 Mell
ousted state Representative Rich Bradley and
replaced him with his daughter, Deb Mell, and in
2010 another Mell toady, Mike Alvarez, was slated
for Metropolitan Water Reclamation District
commissioner.
To
be accurate, "Old Gringo" should now be
renamed "Old Gloton Gringo" - the
hoggish foreigner.
Assessor:
Instead of rejoicing at the prospect of Board of
Review Commissioner Joe Berrios ascending to this
powerful post, Hispanics are skeptical. Will he be
just another Daley pawn? Seeking revenge,
Maldonado has recruited former county judge Ray
Figueroa, a onetime 31st Ward alderman, to run
against Berrios. Berrios is the 31st Ward
committeeman, as well as the county Democratic
chairman. Figueroa, who was elected alderman in
1987 as a Harold Washington supporter, was never
Berrios' ally. He served one term as alderman, and
he was elected a judge in 1994, retiring in 2006.
Berrios
has $2,607,680 in his campaign accounts. Maldonado
has $76,937.
The
outlook: Outgoing incumbent Jim Houlihan was a
useful cog in the "Daley Machine," but
Berrios, if elected, will be the primary cog in
the pay-to-play "Berrios Machine." He
will raise millions of dollars from those who
benefit from the assessor's value reductions, and
he will be well positioned to run for mayor in
2011 or 2015 or, at the very least, dictate the
Hispanic candidate in a Daley-free election.
Also
running are former alderman and Board of Review
commissioner Bob Shaw, who is black, and real
estate developer Gene Staples, who is white.
Andrea Raila, an anti-tax activist associated with
Governor Pat Quinn, apparently has withdrawn.
Black voters comprise roughly one-third of the
Cook County Democratic primary vote.
Berrios
will run as an insider, lavishing millions of
dollars on ads in the Hispanic media and paid
precinct workers and relying on white committeemen
to deliver votes. Shaw should get the bulk of the
black vote, but Figueroa will have appeal as both
a "reformer" and a Washington alderman.
The newspapers will endorse Figueroa, and he will
get a big chunk of the white liberal Lakefront and
suburban vote.
My
prediction: Against a single foe, Berrios would be
in jeopardy, but Shaw and Figueroa will split the
black and independent vote and Berrios will win.
23rd
Illinois House District (Southwest Side, centered
on Interstate 55 and Harlem Avenue): Democrat Dan
Burke has been a state representative since 1991
and a cipher for the Democratic majority,
compiling an utterly undistinguished record. While
the area has turned Hispanic -- 66.4 percent in
the 2000 census, and probably 80 percent-plus in
2009 -- Burke's DNA makes him impervious and
unbeatable.
Burke's
brother is Alderman Ed Burke (14th), whose $4.3
million campaign fund ensures that nobody credible
runs for any Burke-held job. Burke's 14th Ward is
more than 80 percent Hispanic, but Burke got 90
percent of the vote in 2007, and he was unopposed
in 2003. First appointed in 1968, Ed Burke was
elected in 1969 and has been reelected 10 times.
At age 66, Burke is the City Council's dean and
the Finance Committee chairman.
Burke
doesn't beat opposition. He just buys them off.
Rudy
Lozano Jr.'s father was a union organizer, a
political activist and a Washington supporter, and
he lost a 22nd Ward aldermanic race in 1983; he
was murdered shortly thereafter. Lozano is
challenging Dan Burke, who has had no opposition
in the past nine primaries.
As
expected, the "Burke Machine" filed two
Hispanic shill candidates, Rene Diaz and Martin
Meza-Zavalda. They will divert votes from Lozano.
But,
according to insiders, Lozano, age 33, has a
two-year game plan. If he doesn't beat Dan Burke
in 2010, he'll continue his quest and attempt to
oust Alderman Ricardo Munoz (22nd) in 2011. The
Lozano name is revered among Hispanics.
The
turnout in the 23rd District, which includes parts
of the 14th, 13th, 18th, 15th and 23rd wards and
Stickney, was 8,968 in the 2008 primary and 7,640
in 2006. It will be around 8,000 in 2010.
Lozano
is running an "anti-gringo" campaign,
and making the Burke boys the focus. My
prediction: Lozano will crest 40 percent, and by
2015 the 14th Ward will have a Hispanic alderman
and the Burkes will be history.
7th
County Board District (Southwest Side, Cicero):
Incumbent Joseph Mario Moreno exhibited
monumentally poor judgment in supporting Cook
County Board President Todd Stroger's sales tax
hike, and he then voted both for and against an
override of Stroger's veto. That's no profile in
courage.
Former
state senator Jesus Garcia, the 22nd Ward alderman
in the 1980s (winning the next election after
Lozano's death), is opposing Moreno. Garcia is a
flaming pro-tax liberal, and he was a Washington
supporter.
But
voters' disgust with Moreno is palpable. My
prediction: Moreno is toast. Garcia will win with
60 percent of the vote.
12th
County Board District (Ravenswood, Lakeview,
Wicker Park): It takes an enormous amount of
incompetence to blow a Chicago aldermanic seat,
but Ted Matlak did so in 2007, losing in the 32nd
Ward to Scott Waguespak by 122 votes. Now he's
masochistically running against state
Representative John Fritchey (D-11) for Forrest
Claypool's county board seat.
Watch
the 11th House District. Fritchey's predecessor
was Rod Blagojevich, and Fritchey won the seat in
1996 as part of Mell's deal-making to get
Blagojevich into Congress. Lisa Madigan ousted
longtime political hack Bruce Farley from his
state Senate seat in 1998. Now Farley's son, Dan,
is running for the House, and he is opposed by Ann
Williams, a lobbyist and a former state's attorney
staffer for Madigan.
Alderman
Gene Schulter (47th) won't exert himself or his
organization for Fritchey unless he endorses
Farley, and backing Farley would infuriate many
liberals in the 32nd Ward and Wicker Park, where
Williams is popular. Whatever his decision,
Fritchey will hand a sizable number of votes to
Matlak. My prediction: Slight edge to Farley and
Fritchey.