A
multitude of fierce skirmishes will be fought next
year, but they won't only be in Iraq. Democrats on
the Northwest Side, usually a fractious bunch, are
positioning themselves to do battle in the March
21 primary.
With
the Dec. 19 filing deadline a little more than 2
months away, it's time for serious candidates to
put up or shut up. And, in many races, they have.
Here's a preview of developing - and nondeveloping
- Democratic primary contests:
Governor:
Two Democratic state representatives, Lou Lang
(D-16) of Skokie and Jack Franks (D-63) of
McHenry, have shut up. Both have been critical of
Rod Blagojevich's performance as governor, but
both apparently have decided that Blagojevich is
not beatable in a Democratic primary. If they were
going to run, they would be in the race by now.
You
can't beat somebody with nobody, and Blagojevich
likely will have nobody credible challenge him in
the primary. A September SurveyUSA poll ranked
Blagojevich as the least popular Democratic
governor in the nation. His approval rating was 36
percent, and his disapproval rating was 56
percent. That made him the 45th most popular
governor out of 50 in the country. The poll was
taken during the week when the media hyped the
fact that two admitted felons accused the governor
of being "involved" in schemes to
extract contributions from firms who sought loans
from the teachers pension fund.
A
primary for governor would boost Democratic
turnout. Without it, turnout will be much lower,
which benefits local party organizations, who can
turn out their loyal, controllable voters.
State
Treasurer: In a statewide Democratic primary,
nearly 60 percent of the vote is cast in Cook
County. In 2004 turnout was 1,310,129, of which
764,163 (58.3 percent) came from Cook County, and
in 2002 turnout was 1,320,813, of which 791,605
(59.9 percent) came from Cook County. All five of
the Democrats holding statewide constitutional
office are from Chicago. So, quite naturally,
Downstate Democrats are clamoring for some
diversity.
The
Democrats have slated an obscure Downstater, Knox
County State's Attorney Paul Mangieri, for the
post. Now that Cook County Board President John
Stroger has announced for re-election, a black
candidate - possibly Cook County Clerk of Court
Dorothy Brown - definitely will enter the
treasurer's race, and likely win.
State
Central Committeeman (9th District): Bill Marovitz,
an attorney and a former state senator married to
Playboy executive Christie Hefner, is a major
player in county Democratic politics, and a heavy
contributor. Each of Illinois' 19 congressional
districts elects a committeeman and a
committeewoman. These are largely honorific job
titles: Their holders meet to "slate"
statewide candidates, an imprimatur that is
usually meaningless, and they have the legal
authority to fill vacancies on the statewide
ticket. Illinois House Speaker Mike Madigan is the
3rd District committeeman, and he used that
position to become state party chairman.
Frank
Coconate of Edison Park is spearheading
"Opposition 2007," an effort to field
candidates opposed to Mayor Rich Daley in all of
the Northwest Side wards. Coconate was fired from
his Department of Water Management job in July,
and he is appealing the termination. He intended
to run for county commissioner against Republican
incumbent Pete Silvestri in 2006, but now he says
that he hasn't got the money for such a campaign.
He will, instead, file to run against Marovitz.
"I
want to open the party to new people and new
ideas," said Coconate, the founder of the
Northwest Side Democratic Organization. Coconate
said that he is not intimidated by Marovitz's
wealth. "I want to make him spend it
all," he said. The outlook: Marovitz will
have to spend plenty to beat Coconate.
State
Senator (10th District): Incumbent Jim DeLeo has
been a senator since 1993, and he is an assistant
majority leader, making him a powerful cog in
state government. Before becoming a senator he was
a state representative for 8 years. DeLeo has been
on the ballot eight times in the past 21 years,
and he has never had a competitive race. He is a
close ally of 36th Ward Alderman and Democratic
Committeeman Bill Banks, the chairman of the City
Council Zoning Committee.
DeLeo's
Senate district takes in the 20th Illinois House
district, represented by Republican Mike
McAuliffe, and the 19th District, represented by
Democrat Joe Lyons. In 2001, after the remap was
crafted by the Democrats, DeLeo was put in the
same district with Republican Wally Dudycz, who
chose to retire. DeLeo was unopposed in both the
primary and election. In his old 10th District he
was unopposed for nomination and election in 1992,
1996 and 1998.
Coconate
has recruited a DeLeo opponent for 2006: Patricia
Mulligan, a restaurateur who lives in the 41st
Ward. "She's running, and they won't
intimidate her out of the race," Coconate
said, referring to Banks and DeLeo. The outlook:
DeLeo will win, but he'll have to expend some
money.
State
Senator (39th District): Mike Nardello, director
of finance and administration for the city
Department on Aging, a long-time precinct captain
in Banks' 36th Ward organization, is challenging
the Democratic incumbent, Don Harmon of Oak Park,
who was first elected in 2002. DeLeo has endorsed
Harmon, but Harmon, like DeLeo, has never had a
tough race - he was unopposed in the 2002 primary,
and his 2002 Republican foe withdrew. "I can
beat him," Nardello said.
The
outlook: Of the 208 precincts in the district,
only 10 are in the 36th Ward, where Nardello
lives. Of the rest, 42 are in Oak Park, where
Harmon is the Democratic committeeman, 88 are in
Leyden Township, and 38 are in the black-majority
29th and 37th wards. Will Banks back Nardello? If
he does, by sending his precinct workers into
Leyden Township, then Nardello has a chance. Don't
expect that to happen.
Cook
County Commissioner (9th District): Silvestri, the
Elmwood Park village president, won with 54
percent of the vote in 1994, 1998 and 2002. He is
part of the Northwest Side's amorphous
"Italian connection." Silvestri's key
political ally is state Representative Skip
Saviano (R-77) of Elmwood Park, a former
legislative aide to DeLeo who shares a Springfield
house with his good buddy, state Representative
Mike McAuliffe (R-20). Silvestri also is closely
allied with McAuliffe and with 41st Ward Alderman
Brian Doherty, with whom he shares office space.
In
2002, when Silvestri was opposed by Democrat Rob
Martwick, the son of Norwood Park Township
Democratic Committeeman Robert Martwick, the 36th
Ward went for Martwick by 3,222 votes, but
Martwick carried his home Norwood Park Township by
just 454 votes while Silvestri won the 41st Ward
by 2,507 votes, Leyden Township by 5,348 votes and
Maine Township by 3,735 votes. Overall, Martwick
lost by 6,831 votes.
Silvestri's
potential 2006 Democratic foes include Dennis
Fleming, who garnered 41 percent of the vote in
the 2004 primary for state representative in the
15th District, losing to John D'Amico. Coconate's
group will back Pat Mazzone, an accountant who
lives in the 45th Ward. Mazzone intends to use the
2006 race to develop name recognition for a 2007
bid for alderman against incumbent Pat Levar. The
outlook: Silvestri need not be even remotely
nervous about winning his fourth term.
State
Representative (20th District): McAuliffe can be
plausibly called the "Teflon Man." After
his father, former state representative Roger
McAuliffe, died in mid-1996, Mike won a tough race
against Tom Needham with 52.4 percent of the vote,
and he was re-elected with 66.5 percent in 1998
and with 61.7 percent in 2000 (against Coconate).
In 2002 McAuliffe faced fellow incumbent Bob
Bugielski, who was backed by the Banks/DeLeo/36th
Ward crowd, and triumphed with 53.7 percent of the
vote. In 2004 Democratic state Representative
Ralph Capparelli, a fixture in Springfield since
1971, who had been elected in an adjoining
district in 2002, chose to run against McAuliffe,
and the Republican soundly thrashed him with 59.2
percent of the vote.
Like
his father, who had a nonaggression pact with the
38th Ward Democrats, McAuliffe and Doherty now
have a similar arrangement with DeLeo/Banks - they
won't try to beat DeLeo, and McAuliffe will get a
free pass by the Democrats for the House.
According
to reliable sources, Harwood Heights' Democratic
Mayor Peggy Fuller will not run against McAuliffe
in 2006, nor will Trustee Mark Dobrzycki. "I
will not run at this time," said Dobrzycki,
whose efforts to motivate the Polish-American vote
in Harwood Heights were instrumental in Fuller's
38-vote 2005 win over incumbent Republican Mayor
Norb Pabich, who was backed by McAuliffe.
But
the Coconate forces intend to offer opposition.
According to Coconate, their candidate will be
either Dan Burke, a retired Chicago police officer
who lost to Doherty in 1999, or Joe Boccia, a
housepainter. "We will not give (McAuliffe) a
pass," Coconate promised. "A Democrat
should represent the district, and it's
inexcusable that the Democratic committeemen are
not trying to find somebody to beat him." The
outlook: McAuliffe is unbeatable in 2006.