A
sizable number of black Democratic politicians in Chicago and Cook
County feel, to use the current slang, "dissed."
They're
disgruntled with the Daley Administration's seemingly perpetual lock
on power. They're disgusted about the slow pace of black empowerment.
(Blacks hold one of three citywide Chicago elective offices and six of
20 countywide elective offices.) And they're distraught over the
prospect of Chicago never again having a black mayor.
Thus,
even though three of the six countywide offices up for re-election in
2004 are currently occupied by an African American, an unofficial
six-candidate "black slate" has surfaced, with the aim of
not only winning all six Democratic nominations in the March 16
primary, but also of spurring black turnout, which would aid the
candidacy of Barack Obama for U.S. senator.
Atop
the unofficial "black slate," which will be pushed heavily
in black areas, are Recorder of Deeds Gene Moore, Clerk of the Circuit
Court Dorothy Brown and Metropolitan Water Reclamation District
Commissioner Barbara McGowan. All three were officially slated by the
county Democrats, and all three expect -- but may not get -- the
support of the mayor and the white city and suburban Democratic
committeemen. They definitely will get the support of the black
committeemen.
Here's
a look at the upcoming contests:
Recorder
of Deeds: Of the three, Moore, of Maywood, is the least endangered.
Moore is the Proviso Township committeeman; in 2002 he narrowly
defeated his local rival, state Representative Karen Yarbrough (D-7),
in the race for committeeman, getting 9,073 votes to Yarbrough's
7,911. Regina Rivers of Maywood, who, according to sources, is one of
Moore's local political foes and who is black, filed for recorder. Her
petitions have been challenged, and she is likely to be removed from
the ballot, leaving Moore unopposed.
Moore
was appointed to the recorder's job in 1999, after Jesse White
resigned to become Illinois secretary of state. He was unopposed for
nomination in 2000. Even if Rivers stays on the ballot, Moore will win
easily.
Clerk
of the Cook County Circuit Court: Brown's position is more tenuous.
She was nominated with less than 50 percent of the vote in the 2000
primary, and she faces a formidable opponent in Jerome Orbach, a white
former judge who will run on a "reform" platform.
The
clerk's office controls more than 2,300 jobs, and Brown is perceived
as a potential mayoral candidate. Brown has done her best to spread
patronage jobs among black committeemen, and she will have strong
support among black voters. No scandals have erupted in the office
during her watch, but Orbach will claim that his judicial experience
has given him insight into the office's logistical and clerical
shortcomings, and that he can "reform" them.
Daley
will assume his usual Sphinx-like demeanor, refusing to endorse either
contender. But, by the last weekend, if Orbach has a chance to win,
Daley's strategists might authorize the pro-Daley white committeemen
to deliver for Orbach. If that occurs, Brown could lose -- and Daley
would be rid of a future opponent.
Metropolitan
Water Reclamation District: McGowan's fate is even more obscure, since
she is one of 14 candidates seeking three water district commissioner
nominations. In 1998, when she won an upset on the crest of widespread
support among black voters, she was listed last on the ballot in a
14-candidate field -- which is deemed to be a "good" ballot
position. Her 2004 ballot position is inauspicious: She is listed
eighth among the 14 candidates, which means voters must make a serious
effort to find her name.
The
other two MWRD incumbents, white Commissioners Gloria Majewski and
Patty Young, fared no better. They were listed on the same petitions
with McGowan, so the ballot lottery put them sixth and seventh,
respectively. Being mired in the middle of a long list of candidates
is disadvantageous, and one or more of the incumbents could lose.
State's
Attorney: The final 2004 incumbent is Cook County State's Attorney
Dick Devine, first elected in 1996 and a solid favorite to win a third
term this year. But there has been some discontent in the black
community regarding Devine's policies as a prosecutor, and, in a
surprise, Tommy Brewer, a black Evanston attorney and the onetime
director of enforcement for the Illinois Department of Professional
Regulation, filed against him. Brewer ran for sheriff in 1994, getting
179,904 votes (32 percent) to Sheriff Mike Sheahan's 377,273. Devine
surely will win, but the question is whether he will get more than 60
percent of the vote. If Brewer, who is both unknown and underfunded,
can come close to 40 percent, then Devine's political problems are
much more severe than is thought.
The
water district oversees the processing of liquid and solid wastes in
Cook County, and it has 2,400 employees and a budget of more than $750
million. But there also is hundreds of millions of dollars in
construction contracts dispensed annually, which makes the post of
MWRD president -- now held by Terry O'Brien, a close Daley political
ally -- especially critical. It takes the vote of five of nine
commissioners to elect the president, and the outcome of the 2004
primary could affect his tenure.
The
current race is both complex and chaotic. In Democratic primaries
since 1984, an incumbent commissioner has lost four times (including
the president in 1992 and 1996), and a slated candidate for
commissioner has lost 10 times. Because of the obscurity of the agency
and of the sitting commissioners, there are absolutely no powers of
incumbency. In primaries, it is gender (with women candidates having
an edge), ethnicity (meaning Irish surnames) and ballot position
(being first or last) that matter. This year it took 5,154 nominating
petition signatures to get on the ballot.
Of
the nine candidates who filed on the first day for the $45,000-a-year
part-time job (the board meets twice per month), a lottery gave the
top spot to John Ryan, a Northwest Sider who ran for state
representative in 1998, losing to Republican Mike McAuliffe, and who
is an operating engineer at O'Hare Airport. Ryan's petitions have been
challenged, but if he stays on the ballot, top-plus-Irish gives him a
chance to win.
Listed
14th on the ballot is Frank Avila, an aggressive and controversial
attorney and the son of incumbent Commissioner M. Frank Avila. The
younger Avila filed a federal lawsuit in 2001 to knock off the ballot
appointed (and slated) water district Commissioner Martin Sandoval,
who was simultaneously running in 2002 for state senator, on the
grounds that he had publicly announced that he would resign his MWRD
nomination if nominated for senator, thereby allowing the county
Democratic chairman to choose his replacement.
This
"conspiracy" theory so rattled Sandoval and his Hispanic
supporters, including mayoral aide and political strategist Victor
Reyes, that they yanked Sandoval off the water district ballot,
leaving only two slated candidates -- Therese Meany (Irish surname and
first on the ballot) and Cynthia Santos (second on the ballot). The
elder Avila, an Edison Park engineer who was last on the ballot, got
strong support among blacks and Hispanics, got most media
endorsements, and edged out Jim Sheehan, the sheriff's cousin, who was
second to last on the ballot.
In
2002 the younger Avila filed another federal lawsuit challenging
Chicago's aldermanic residency requirements. He prevailed and got his
ally, Manny Flores, on the ballot for alderman in the 1st Ward. The
independent Flores beat pro-Daley incumbent Jesse Granato in the 2003
election.
Will
son replicate father? Frank Avila is much reviled among some
Democratic insiders, but he also is much admired for his gutsiness and
political acumen. He is crafting a diverse coalition of support: He
expects the backing of such powerhouse white Democrats as U.S.
Representative Bill Lipinski (D-3), Alderman Dick Mell (33rd) and
state Representative Ralph Capparelli (D-15), and he already has been
endorsed by such influential black politicians as U.S. Representative
Jesse Jackson Jr. (D-2), Alderman Howard Brookins (21st) and state
Senator James Meeks (D-15). Being last on the ballot, having a
Hispanic- and Italian-sounding name, having had his father run for
water district commissioner in 1998, 2000 and 2002, and having the
energy to campaign around Cook County, all make Avila an ominous
threat to the Democratic slate.
And
then there's the "black slate," McGowan, attorney Lewis
Powell II, who lost in 2002, and Gracie Gipson. In 1998 black
committeemen pushed only for McGowan, and she got 101,677 votes, to
Majewski's 112,867 and Young's 130,411; the other slated candidate,
Gary Marinaro, got only 52,383 votes. In that same primary, M. Frank
Avila got 33,457 votes, and Sheehan got 64,043.
In
the 2002 primary, the "black slate" consisted of Derrick
Stinson (119,001 votes), Powell (93,757) and Jesse Evans (182,998).
But Avila got a significant black vote, which enabled him to top
Sheehan 192,029-189,578.
Other
2004 MWRD candidates are Brendan O'Connor, Dean Maragos, Stacy Stoldt,
Tony Sutor, Reginald Mason, Minerva Orozco and Xochiti Flores.
The
early outlook: If white committeemen push Majewski-Young-Avila, and if
black committeemen steer some votes to Avila, the likely 2004 loser
would be Majewski.