The
filing period for 2006 candidates closed on Dec.
19, and the field of aspirants features a motley
mixture of oddities, absurdities, dynasties,
mendacities and travesties.
In
several instances, who has not filed is a bigger
story than who has.
Here's
an early overview of interesting contests:
*One
is Enough. In the Democratic primary for Cook
County Board president, incumbent John Stroger has
a real problem. Against two white opponents, both
hoisting the "reform" banner, Stroger,
who is black, was an easy victor. But now that
County Commissioner Mike Quigley has withdrawn
from the primary and endorsed Commissioner Forrest
Claypool for board president, Stroger's
renomination is in serious jeopardy.
Stroger,
the 8th Ward Democratic committeeman, is Mayor
Rich Daley's most important black supporter. Back
in the1994 primary, Stroger got 47.1 percent of
the vote, with Maria Pappas pulling the bulk of
the Lakefront/liberal/independent vote (24
percent) and Aurie Pucinski pulling the bulk of
the white ethnic/suburban vote (28.9 percent). In
that election, Daley exerted a herculean effort on
Stroger's behalf, and most Northwest Side and
Southwest Side white committeemen delivered 25 to
30 percent of the vote in their wards for Stroger.
Stroger,
of course, got a huge vote in the predominantly
black wards. But now, 12 years later, Stroger will
be attacked by Claypool as a tax hiker and an
inept manager. Claypool also will highlight
instances of patronage abuse, graft and fiscal
mismanagement. To win, Claypool must synthesize
the dual messages of institutional reform and
fiscal responsibility. He must create an
anti-Stroger coalition, melding the 1994 Pappas
and Pucinski voters, and hold Stroger to his 1994
vote of 47 percent. The early outlook: Claypool's
chances grow brighter by the minute.
Judge
and Judge Again: Aurie Pucinski, the daughter of
long-time 41st Ward Alderman Roman Pucinski, was
elected clerk of the Circuit Court in 1988,
switched to the Republicans to run against Stroger
in 1998, lost, and then retired as clerk in 2000.
In 2004 she switched back to the Democrats and ran
for Circuit Court judge in the Northwest Side 10th
Subcircuit, beating Jim McGing by 1,281 votes and
winning a 6-year term.
Now
Judge Pucinski has filed to run in 2006 for a
countywide judicial vacancy. How (and why) can a
sitting judge run for another judgeship? Pucinski,
who lives in Norwood Park, recently said that she
wants to move to the Loop because the security for
judges is better there. She also acknowledged that
her children are on their own, so she doesn't need
to keep her house. However, laws require judges
elected from subcircuits to remain residents for
their first term, so Pucinski, who has supped from
a silver spoon her entire political life, cannot
move.
Many
lawyers would happily move into a
cockroach-infested cold-water flat in order to be
a judge, but Pucinski doesn't want to spend 4 more
years on the Northwest Side. And she probably
won't.
Her
opponents for the "Burr vacancy" are Ann
Collins Dole, Paul McMahon and Joanne Guillemette,
none of whom are exactly household names. Pucinski
likely will win, but one cannot be a "double
judge." She will have to resign her
subcircuit judgeship some time in November before
she is sworn into her countywide judgeship in
December. Northwest Siders won't mourn her
departure.
*Like
Father/Like Son. Ted Lechowicz, the erstwhile
Northwest Side state senator and county
commissioner (until he lost to Claypool in 2003 by
850 votes) is a poster boy for pension abuse. He
accrued 23 years as a state legislator, all the
while holding a county patronage job. He was
elected commissioner in 1990 and served 12 years.
He has over 35 years in his county pension. When
Lechowicz left the legislature, while still a
county commissioner, he got a high-paying job in
George Ryan's secretary of state office, which he
kept for 2 months, thereby enhancing his state
pension substantially. Big Ted's pensions amount
to about $140,000 annually.
Now
his son, Ed Lechowicz, is carrying on the family
business. Although an attorney for just 8 years,
Lechowicz is running for judge in the Near
Northwest Side 6th Subcircuit. Facing the unknown
Andrea Schleifer, Roxanne Rochester, Mike
Grochowiak and Ramon Ocasio, he is a cinch to win
- which means another Lechowicz that taxpayers can
support for life.
*Where's
the beef? Frank Coconate is a vociferous Daley
critic, and he is spearheading an "Opposition
2007" effort to find anti-Daley aldermanic
candidates in all the Northwest Side wards.
But
if Coconate's 2006 performance presages his 2007
efforts, the Daley forces need not sweat. Coconate
is running for Democratic state central
committeeman against incumbent Bill Marovitz in
the 9th U.S. House District. He'll lose big. He
promised to field a candidate against state
Senator Jim DeLeo (D-10), to field an opponent to
DeLeo as 5th District state central committeeman,
and to field a candidate for county commissioner
in the 9th District, where the incumbent is
Republican Pete Silvestri. His promises were
unfulfilled.
The
bottom line: Coconate's credibility is diminished.
The 2006 primary was supposed to be a test of
anti-Daley sentiment. Other than himself, he got
nobody else on the ballot. Those loud giggles can
be traced to City Hall.
*Barack
the Boss? Did U.S. Senator Barack Obama clear the
field in the Democratic state treasurer's race?
Until incumbent Republican Judy Baar Topinka
announced for governor, the only Democrat willing
to run for the post was obscure Knox County
State's Attorney Paul Mangieri, of Galesburg. He
was slated by the Democrats, and he is on record
as opposing abortion rights.
When
Topinka decided to move up, a flock of ambitious
Democrats eyed the job, including state
Representative John Fritchey (D-11), Alderman
Manny Flores (1st), East Saint Louis state Senator
Jim Clayborne (D-57) and Orland Park Mayor Dan
McLaughlin, who lost to Topinka in 1998 by 62,279
votes, getting 48.1 percent of the vote. But none
announced, and all deferred to Alexi Giannoulias,
a 29-year-old Chicago investment banker who was an
early supporter of Obama in his 2004 Senate race,
whose father owns Broadway Bank, and whose family
helped bankroll the Obama campaign. Giannoulias
has said that he will campaign as a
"progressive," and he has promised to
put more than $1 million in family funds into the
race.
Democrats
like to posture as the party of
"diversity," but the
Mangieri-Giannoulias primary may belie that
assertion. The state treasurer's office has no
connection with abortion rights, but expect
Giannoulias to hammer Mangieri on that issue. All
five Democrats occupying state constitutional
offices are from Cook County, and four are from
Chicago. The Democrats slated Mangieri to have
some geographical balance.
The
bottom line: Obama is the potential king maker.
Expect Obama to publicly endorse Giannoulias, cut
television ads for him, and go heavy for him on
black radio stations. Of course, there's a
downside. If Obama endorses Giannoulias and he
loses, that would indicate that Obama's clout is
not transferable.
My
prediction: The stars are aligning for Giannoulias,
another silver spooner. Every politician in the
Chicago area, Daleyites and anti-Daleyites, eager
to collect campaign funds from Greek Americans in
the future, will back Giannoulias. Obama's early
endorsement will be critical. Giannoulias will
blanket the Chicago airwaves with ads proclaiming
himself to be a reformer and a nonpolitician, and
mail pieces will target liberal and feminist
voters, ripping Mangieri's anti-abortion stance.
Mangieri won't get more than 40 percent of the
vote in the primary.
*On
His Own. Any incumbent's first re-election is the
most difficult. In the 3rd U.S. House District,
Dan Lipinski was anointed in 2004, not elected.
His father, Bill Lipinski, the 23rd Ward
Democratic committeeman, served from 1983 to 2005
and resigned his 2004 nomination, and the
committeemen - at Lipinski's insistence - picked
his son as his replacement.
Much
grumbling ensued, and plenty of Southwest Side and
southwest suburban politicians began mulling a
2006 congressional bid. But no heavyweight, such
as 11th Ward Alderman James Balcer, chose to
oppose Lipinski in 2006. His primary foes are John
Sullivan of Chicago, an assistant Cook County
state's attorney, and John Kelly of Oak Lawn, a
financial advisor. Neither is formidable.
The
early outlook: Dan Lipinski is an obscure,
irrelevant figure in Washington, but you can't
beat a semi-nobody with a nobody. Sullivan and
Kelly will likely garner half the vote between
them, but Lipinski will get the other half and win
the primary.
*The
Credibility Man: Harwood Heights has a burgeoning
population of Polish immigrants, many of whom are
not citizens. Mark Dobrzycki was elected a village
trustee in 2003, he supported Peggy Fuller for
village president in 2005, and his efforts among
Polish-American voters contributed to Fuller's
38-vote win. Now Dobrzycki is running for the
Illinois House as the unopposed Democratic
candidate against Republican incumbent Mike
McAuliffe (R-20).
Twice
during 2005, this columnist asked Dobrzycki if he
was going to run against McAuliffe, and twice he
denied it. Nevertheless, Dobrzycki is a viable
candidate, and McAuliffe will have to work - and
spend money - to beat him.