Dick
Devine is toxic. After 12 bland, boring and
intentionally uncontroversial years as Cook
County's state's attorney, Devine's
accomplishments -- or, as it relates to the
prosecution of official corruption in Chicago and
Cook County, his non-accomplishments -- have
become the paramount issue in the Feb. 5
Democratic primary to nominate his successor.
"I'm
not Dick" is the near-universal mantra. Five
of the six aspirants -- Tom Allen, Larry Suffredin,
Howard Brookins, Anita Alvarez and Tommy Brewer --
are trash talking Devine's performance. Brookins
and Brewer are black. Only Bob Milan, the first
assistant state's attorney, the office's number
two post, is praising his boss. And Devine has
reciprocated, endorsing Milan.
It
should be remembered that Devine had Milan's job
when Mayor Rich Daley was state's attorney, from
1980 to 1989. Daley helped Devine get elected in
1996, and Devine's job has been to cover the
mayor's rear -- which means hear no evil, see no
evil, do no evil. The office's Public
Integrity Unit has been the equivalent of the
Maytag repairman. Alvarez, once supervisor of that
unit and now the office's chief deputy, the number
three post, puts it succinctly: "Our core
mission is to prosecute violent crime and
incarcerate criminals. We have a $96 million
annual budget. The feds spent $25 million to
prosecute George Ryan. We don't have the money to
prosecute politicians."
Alvarez,
a 21-year prosecutor, disdains her three principal
opponents, Brookins, Allen and Suffredin:
"They're just politicians," she said.
"They have no knowledge of the office."
But she also trashes her boss, saying, "He's
resistant to change. We can't maintain the status
quo." And, she adds, "He didn't keep his
word. He promised not to endorse anybody. Now he's
endorsed Bob."
Allen,
the alderman from the Northwest Side 38th Ward, is
dancing a fine line. He needs the mayor's
endorsement, and he knows he can't be isolated as
a Devine-type eunuch, so he has to mildly
criticize Devine. "Crime has changed,"
Allen said. "Guns, drugs, sex offenders. The
office must change. It hasn't. It's standing
still. I will ratchet up prosecutions." As
for the prosecution of corruption, Allen said
Devine has put a "gone fishing sign on his
door." "Corruption is a crime, and he
has not done much of anything," he said.
Suffredin,
a Cook County commissioner from Evanston, trumpets
himself as the "reform" candidate and
promises to initiate a "public corruption
strike force" composed of prosecutors who
will investigate public officials, contractors and
police officers in Chicago and Cook County.
"I will redeploy resources," Suffredin
said, adding that Devine's record is an
"embarrassment."
Brookins,
the 21st Ward alderman, rips the
"culture" of the office. "Their
premise is to win at any cost, to convict at any
cost," he said. "If I win, my priority
will be justice, not statistics. We will not be an
extension of the police department." Brookins
said he will "diversify the office, in both
race and thought," and that he will hire more
minorities
It
will be recalled that Bill Clinton's political
handlers lived in mortal fear of a "bimbo
eruption." With the primary just days away,
Brookins' strategists fear a "deadbeat
eruption" similar to the albatross that sank
State's Attorney Cecil Partee after he was
appointed to succeed Daley. Partee won the 1990
primary, defeating Alderman Pat O'Connor (40th),
but after revelations about illegitimate children,
past-due child support, income tax delinquencies,
unpaid loans, ownership of "slum"
property and insider property tax reductions, he
lost the election to Republican Jack O'Malley.
Liberal white voters will embrace a squeaky-clean
black candidate like Barack Obama, but they will
not support an ethically challenged black
candidate like Partee.
Brookins
has been hit with allegations that he failed to
pay rent on his law office, that he failed to pay
his employees' withholding taxes and that he owned
property which had code violations. "I have
explanations," Brookins said, stating that he
paid the rent, paid the taxes and didn't own the
property. In effect, Brookins is saying that he's
not Cecil Partee. If more so-called
"deadbeat" revelations surface, Brookins,
as the Democratic nominee, could be vulnerable to
Republican Tony Peraica in November.
If
elected, Brookins would be no Devine. "I will
use the office's resources smarter," he said.
"I will beef up the consumer fraud unit.
There will be an emphasis on more narcotics and
gun prosecutions, and there will be more Public
Integrity Unit investigations and
prosecutions." Instead of two prosecutors per
felony courtroom, Brookins would replace one with
a paralegal. "We have the manpower," he
said. "We just have to use it better."
Suffredin,
a county commissioner since 2002, said his
priorities will be guns and corruption and that he
also will focus on domestic violence and juvenile
crime. His proposed "strike force" will
be moved from 26th Street to the Daley Center, and
he said that he will use the office's civil powers
to "impose more fines" and thereby fund
more prosecutions.
Allen,
a onetime public defender, has been an alderman
since 1993. He wants to create a gun trafficking
unit. "The guns are coming from Indiana and
Mississippi, which have the weakest gun
laws," he said. "We need to trace guns
back to their source." As for sexual
predators, Allen said that Devine's office
"has dropped the ball," claiming that
"20 percent of registered sex offenders have
disappeared." Allen said he would have a
hotline for reporting sex offenders.
As
for Milan, a 19-year prosecutor, he's "proud
to work for Devine," and he said that
Devine's endorsement was a "shot in the
arm" for his campaign. "He's been the
most progressive and innovative state's attorney
in modern history," Milan said. His motto: A
prosecutor, not a politician.
The
outlook: Turnout will be in the 850,000 range, up
from 764,163 in 2004. Obama's presidential bid,
coupled with recent death of John Stroger and the
Jon Burge police torture settlement, will motivate
black voters. To win, Brookins needs at least 80
percent of the black vote -- about 240,000 in
Chicago and 85,000 in the suburbs, or 260,000
votes. Brewer will draw a small black vote, about
20,000. That leaves about 580,000 votes to be
divided between Allen, Suffredin, Milan and
Alvarez.
Allen's
political base is the Northwest Side, but his
financial base is Organized Labor. He's been
endorsed by 300 unions, including police and
firefighters, and he expects to raise and spend $1
million. All the Northwest Side committeemen are
for him, as well as the committeemen in the
powerhouse 11th, 13th, 19th and 23rd wards on the
Southwest Side. To win, he needs 75 percent of the
vote in the white ethnic wards and 40 percent in
the suburbs and Lakefront, for a total of about
250,000 votes. Milan's candidacy hurts Allen.
Suffredin's
base is the North Shore and the Lakefront, where
he's popular among liberals and gays. His
endorsement by U.S. Representatives Jesse Jackson
Jr. and Luis Gutierrez, Secretary of State Jesse
White, Alderman Walter Burnett and state Senator
Rickey Hendon will get him some minority votes.
But his steam is generated by U.S. Representative
Jan Schakowsky's suburban political operation; he
will carry the North Shore with better than 60
percent of the vote, and he will get half the
Lakefront vote and 5 to 8 percent of the black
vote, finishing with 175,000 to 190,000 votes. To
win, he needs Milan to siphon 50,000 votes from
Allen and to get 15 to 20 percent of the black
vote.
Alvarez,
of Mexican heritage, needs Hillary Clinton to draw
a huge outpouring of women voters who vote for
female candidates. She will get half the Hispanic
vote, and she will finish with about 75,000 votes,
mostly at Suffredin's expense. Milan was born and
raised in the 19th Ward. That, plus Devine's
endorsement, will get him 50,000 votes.
My
prediction: Brookins, 255,000 votes; Allen,
230,000; Suffredin, 185,000; Alvarez, 85,000;
Milan, 50,000; Brewer, 25,000. Total turnout:
830,000. That means Brookins wins with just 31
percent of the vote.
Recorder
of Deeds: The trash talk continues. "The
office is a mess, laden with patronage and
populated with knuckleheads," said Alderman
Ed Smith, who is challenging incumbent Gene Moore,
the slated candidate. "The people's vote will
prevail," boomed Smith, forgetting that the
office's core mission is to record deeds, not
change the world. Both candidates are black. Smith
has been endorsed by Daley, and he is grasping
tightly to Obama. "In 2004, he endorsed Dan
Hynes for senator, not Barack," said Smith.
Moore,
the recorder since 1999, snidely remarked that
Daley's endorsement was a "payback" to
Smith for supporting Daley's tax increases.
"I've modernized and reformed the
office," Moore said. "It's not a dumping
ground for fading politicians."
The
outlook: Daley's endorsement does not mean Daley's
white committeemen are abandoning Moore. County
Commissioner John Daley, the mayor's brother, is
lining up the South Side for Moore. Smith said he
has "some" black committeemen, but the
bulk are for Moore, as are most suburban
committeemen. The incumbent will win with 55
percent of the vote.