Among
Hispanic politicians in Chicago and Cook County,
there are dozens who aspire to be the proverbial
"King of the Hill," or "Rey de la
Loma." They have staked out their turf, and
they will do battle to protect it from
encroachment by other ambitious Hispanic
politicians.
But
no Hispanic has emerged as a viable contender to
become the "King of the Mountain," or
"Rey de la Montana," which means Chicago
mayor or the Cook County Board president.
However,
with the Daley Administration enmeshed in scandals
concerning the Hired Trucks program, the Building
Department, car towing, O'Hare contracts and
minority businesses; and with Mayor Rich Daley
raising taxes to close a budget shortfall, the
possibility of an incumbent-free 2007 Chicago
mayoral election has dawned on quite a few
Hispanic politicians. The time for a Hispanic
mayor could be near.
As
disclosed in a recent poll by McCulloch Research
and Polling, conducted last November, there is no
consensus among Hispanics as to their political
leader. In a survey of 600 Hispanic voters, 58.5
percent proclaimed that there is no local Hispanic
leader of comparable stature to that, among
blacks, of the late Mayor Harold Washington, U.S.
Senator Barack Obama or U.S. Representative Jesse
Jackson Jr. Of the 32.8 percent who professed that
there is such a Hispanic leader, 10.7 percent
named U.S. Representative Luis Gutierrez, 5.7
percent named former city treasurer Miriam Santos,
3.5 percent named Metropolitan Water Reclamation
District Commissioner M. Frank Avila, 2.8 percent
named losing 2004 U.S. Senate primary candidate
Gery Chico, and 2.2 percent named Alderman Manny
Flores.
And,
with the next mayoral election just 2 years away,
the struggle for Hispanic leadership will get
murkier before it becomes clearer. Several turf
wars have already begun, and the federal
investigation into the Hired Truck program could
implicate Daley's Hispanic Democratic
Organization, which boasts enormous political
clout in the city's Hispanic-majority wards.
Here's a look at what's happening in various
"Rey de la Loma" battles:
Cicero:
When in trouble, change the rules.
Cicero
has long been a Republican bastion, but now it is
more than 77 percent Hispanic. In the 2003 special
election to replace convicted Town President Betty
Loren-Maltese, the Republican candidate, Ramiro
Gonzalez, easily beat Democrat Joseph Mario
Moreno, a county commissioner, by a vote of
8,198-5,382. In 2001 Moreno lost to Loren-Maltese,
who was then under investigation, by 9,492-6,444.
But
unlike Hispanics nationwide, who are trending
Republican, having given 44 percent of their vote
to President George Bush, Cicero's Hispanics are
trending Democratic. In 2004 Cicero went
9,707-5,093 for John Kerry over Bush, and Obama
won 10,310-2,919. Also, the area's state
representative, Frank Aguilar, the first Hispanic
Republican elected to the Illinois House, was
upset by an unknown Democrat.
The
behind-the-scenes power in Cicero is Ed Vrdolyak,
the former Chicago alderman who turned Republican
in 1987 and whose law firm represents the town.
Sensing a seismic demographic-spurred political
shift, Vrdolyak quietly put a referendum on last
November's ballot to abolish partisan elections
for town office. It passed overwhelmingly. So now
Gonzalez is spared the unpleasant choice of either
running for re-election in April as a Republican
or switching to the Democrats and running in a
Democratic primary. Now he can run without party
affiliation in the nonpartisan Feb. 22 primary.
Moreno,
after two losses, is planning to run for County
Board president in 2006. State Senator Martin
Sandoval, who recently moved into Cicero, is
taking a pass on the town presidency and likely
will run for township Democratic committeeman in
2006. Gonzalez does have three opponents: Larry
Dominick, Victor Armendariz and Louis DiCrescenzo.
None of them is well funded. None is backed by the
fractious local Democratic organization. And, even
though all three have some local support, they
will not get more than 50 percent of the vote
among themselves, which would force Gonzalez into
an April runoff.
The
"Vrdolyak Machine" is alive and secure
in Cicero for 4 more years.
Puerto
Rico: In a remarkable development, this U.S.
territory is trending Republican, which may or may
not have an effect in Chicago.
In
the 2004 election, a pro-statehood Republican,
Luis Fortuno, was elected as the island's
non-voting representative in the U.S. House,
termed the resident commissioner, with a 4-year
term. Fortuno is the first Republican to win that
position since the 1940s. In another stunning
development, the Republican candidate for
governor, Pedro Rossello, barely lost to the
Democrat, Anibal Acevedo-Vila.
Rumors
have long circulated in Chicago that Gutierrez,
who was born in Puerto Rico and who owns property
there, aspires to the governorship if he can't be
Chicago mayor. Gutierrez does not favor Puerto
Rican statehood; instead, he seeks Puerto Rican
independence. The congressman was an outspoken
opponent of Navy bombing exercises on the island
of Vieques, off the Puerto Rican coast.
By
2008, the issue of statehood-versus-independence
may be ripe, and Gutierrez could leave Congress to
run for governor of Puerto Rico. That would open
his Hispanic-majority 4th U.S. House District seat
and prompt a fierce contest for the succession.
1st
Illinois Senate District (near South Side): Former
Chicago police officer Tony Munoz, with strong
backing by the HDO, scored a huge upset in the
1998 Democratic primary, defeating state Senator
Jesus Garcia by 6,924-5,964. Garcia was a former
22nd Ward alderman who was part of the City
Council's pro-Washington bloc. Munoz was
renominated without opposition in 2002, and his
term expires in 2006. Centered on the 11th and
14th wards, the district runs from 16th Street to
50th Street, between Racine on the east and
Laramie on the west.
The
Hired Truck scandal, however, is a huge cloud on
Munoz's horizon. Angelo Torres, who ran the $40
million-a-year Hired Truck program, is under
federal indictment on corruption and bribery
charges. Munoz and the HDO reportedly sponsored
Torres for the city post. Torres is the cousin of
Munoz' wife, and Munoz is the godfather of one of
Torres' children. Given this close familial and
political connection, Munoz could be associated
with the scandal. If that occurs, Munoz will face
primary opposition in 2006, and he likely would
lose.
1st
Illinois House District (Near South Side):
Incumbent Democrat Susana Mendoza, a protege of
12th Ward Alderman Ray Frias, upset incumbent
Sonia Silva in the 2000 primary by a vote of
4,343-3,530. In 2003 the HDO targeted Frias for
defeat in his Mexican-American ward, and George
Cardenas beat him. However, Mendoza, after her
first election, joined the 11th Ward Democratic
Organization, headed by Daley's brother John, and
she now is secure.
3rd
Illinois House District (Near Northwest Side/Diversey-Kedzie
area): Incumbent Willie Delgado serves at the whim
of powerful 35th Ward Democratic Committeeman Joe
Berrios, a Board of Review commissioner. In 2002
Delgado won the Democratic primary by 124 votes,
and in 2004 he won by 2,569 votes. As long as
Berrios backs him, Delgado stays in Springfield.
4th
Illinois House District (Near Northwest Side):
Incumbent Cynthia Soto learned a lesson from her
predecessor, Edgar Lopez -- don't go to Cuba.
Lopez accompanied former governor George Ryan on
his 1999 trade mission to Cuba, a fact that upset
many Hispanics in his district. Soto beat him
6,498-4,900 in the 2000 primary, and she has been
safe since.
25th
Ward (Near South Side/Pilsen): Alderman Danny
Solis has long been known as Daley's favorite
Hispanic alderman. But his ward is changing, as
affluent whites spread beyond the gentrified
Taylor-Halsted area, pushing out Hispanics. In
2003, against a convicted former alderman, Solis
won with only 54 percent of the vote. Solis could
run for city clerk in 2007; if he doesn't, he will
face a tough re-election race.
Metropolitan
Water Reclamation District: M. Frank Avila, after
having run and lost the Democratic primaries in
1998 and 2000, won a commissioner's spot in 2002,
making him the highest ranking Hispanic county
official. Three commissioners are elected each
election year, and Democrats always win. Avila's
son, attorney Frank Avila, ran in the primary in
2004 and finished a close fourth, just 38,745
votes behind incumbent Gloria Majewski.
Frank
Avila handled the federal lawsuit that overturned
the city's 2-year residency requirement to run for
alderman, thereby permitting Manny Flores to
remain on the ballot in the 1st Ward. Flores upset
HDO-backed incumbent Jesse Granato in the runoff,
and he repaid the favor by running his aide,
Xochitl Flores, in the 11-candidate 2004 MWRD
primary. She was first on the ballot, and Avila
said that she "took many votes away from
me."
The
alderman and Avila have since patched up their
differences, and Xochitl Flores will not run again
in 2006. Avila will. Water district President
Terry O'Brien and Commissioner William Harris, who
is black, will run again. Commissioner Harry
"Bus" Yourell is retiring, and his
"suburban slot" on the slate will be
taken by Leyden Township Democratic Committeeman
Barrett Pedersen.
"It
will be 1998 all over again," predicted
Avila. That year, in a 14-candidate primary, two
incumbents and Proviso Township Committeeman Gary
Marinaro were listed in the top three spots on the
ballot, but 1 a popular black candidate was last
on the ballot, and she easily topped Marinaro.
"I will win in 2006," said Avila. And if
he does, he'll be a major player on the Hispanic
political stage.